Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 08/08, 09:00

Prediction: SD Raiders vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Team pages: SD Raiders · Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

SD Raiders1.72

Western Sydney Wanderers U211.71

1X2

38% 25% 37%

SD Raiders Draw Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SD Raiders 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

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Western Sydney Wanderers U21 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SD Raiders 1–3 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 (4 last)

Western Sydney Wanderers U211-2SD Raiders
Western Sydney Wanderers U214-3SD Raiders
SD Raiders0-3Western Sydney Wanderers U21
SD Raiders1-3Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SD Raiders 1544 · Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1490

	SD Raiders	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	38%	25%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SD Raiders (rating 1544 vs 1490).
H2H favours Western Sydney Wanderers U21: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SD Raiders	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.3	2.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.5	1.4 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	2.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.38

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.38	Bet365 2.38
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
09:11 +3’	2.38	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Raiders 1–0–3 Western Sydney Wanderers U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	1-2 HT 1-1	SD Raiders
23/07/22 Australia New South Wales League 1	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	4-3 HT 2-2	SD Raiders
07/05/22 Australia New South Wales League 1	SD Raiders	0-3 HT 0-2	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
24/04/21 Australia New South Wales League 2	SD Raiders	1-3 HT 0-1	Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	26	19	3	4	59	32	60
2	Marconi Stallions	26	17	4	5	46	18	55
3	Sydney United 58	26	17	3	6	37	18	54
4	Sutherland Sharks	26	13	3	10	42	33	42
5	Rockdale Ilinden FC	26	11	4	11	42	39	37
6	Sydney FC U21	26	10	6	10	34	38	36
7	SD Raiders	26	10	5	11	38	44	35
8	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	26	10	5	11	51	40	35
9	Manly Utd	26	9	8	9	30	30	35
10	Blacktown City	26	9	7	10	41	39	34
11	Wollongong Wolves	26	9	5	12	29	36	32
12	University NSW	26	9	4	13	37	42	31
13	NWS Spirit FC	26	9	4	13	28	36	31
14	St George City FA	26	8	7	11	24	40	31
15	St George Saints	26	6	2	18	25	48	20
16	Sydney Olympic	26	5	4	17	27	57	19

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SD Raiders	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Marconi Stallions	2-1 W	0-3 L
Manly Utd	0-1 L	3-3 D
Sydney FC U21	0-1 L	6-0 W
St George City FA	3-1 W	1-1 D
Sydney United 58	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SD Raiders (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SD Raiders

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	3-2	4	4	W
25/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
18/07	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-2	3-2	4	8	W
14/07	Rochedale Rovers Australia Cup	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
11/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	1-3	5	3	L
04/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
30/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
27/06	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	3-1	5	0	W
21/06	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
14/06	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	1	6	W

Western Sydney Wanderers U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
25/07	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	4-0	2	0	W
18/07	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-2	3-5	3	4	L
12/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
04/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
27/06	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-2	3-3	3	4	D
20/06	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
13/06	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
06/06	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
29/05	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	6-0	1	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SD Raiders vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SD Raiders win (38%). Probabilities: SD Raiders 38%, draw 25%, Western Sydney Wanderers U21 37%.

How many goals are expected in SD Raiders vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21?

The model expects 3.44 goals (SD Raiders 1.72 · Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1.71), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SD Raiders vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.