Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 08/08, 09:30

Prediction: Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC U21

Team pages: Sutherland Sharks · Sydney FC U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Sutherland Sharks1.65

Sydney FC U211.14

1X2

48% 26% 26%

Sutherland Sharks Draw Sydney FC U21

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sutherland Sharks 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLDWW

Sydney FC U21 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWWLLDDL

Head-to-head

Sutherland Sharks 1–3–2 Sydney FC U21 (6 last)

Sydney FC U210-0Sutherland Sharks
Sutherland Sharks4-0Sydney FC U21
Sydney FC U212-0Sutherland Sharks
Sutherland Sharks0-0Sydney FC U21
Sydney FC U210-0Sutherland Sharks
Sydney FC U213-2Sutherland Sharks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sutherland Sharks 1575 · Sydney FC U21 1484

	Sutherland Sharks	Draw	Sydney FC U21
Our model	48%	27%	25%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sutherland Sharks (rating 1575 vs 1484).
H2H favours Sydney FC U21: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sutherland Sharks	Sydney FC U21
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	10/70/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	1.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.60

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
09:12 +3’	1.83	3.60	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutherland Sharks 1–3–2 Sydney FC U21

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney FC U21	0-0 HT 0-0	Sutherland Sharks
09/08/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sutherland Sharks	4-0 HT 2-0	Sydney FC U21
25/04/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney FC U21	2-0 HT 0-0	Sutherland Sharks
20/07/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sutherland Sharks	0-0 HT 0-0	Sydney FC U21
12/04/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney FC U21	0-0 HT 0-0	Sutherland Sharks
27/08/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney FC U21	3-2 HT 1-0	Sutherland Sharks

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	26	19	3	4	59	32	60
2	Marconi Stallions	26	17	4	5	46	18	55
3	Sydney United 58	26	17	3	6	37	18	54
4	Sutherland Sharks	26	13	3	10	42	33	42
5	Rockdale Ilinden FC	26	11	4	11	42	39	37
6	Sydney FC U21	26	10	6	10	34	38	36
7	SD Raiders	26	10	5	11	38	44	35
8	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	26	10	5	11	51	40	35
9	Manly Utd	26	9	8	9	30	30	35
10	Blacktown City	26	9	7	10	41	39	34
11	Wollongong Wolves	26	9	5	12	29	36	32
12	University NSW	26	9	4	13	37	42	31
13	NWS Spirit FC	26	9	4	13	28	36	31
14	St George City FA	26	8	7	11	24	40	31
15	St George Saints	26	6	2	18	25	48	20
16	Sydney Olympic	26	5	4	17	27	57	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sutherland Sharks	Sydney FC U21
Wollongong Wolves	2-1 W	3-2 W
Manly Utd	1-2 L	0-0 D
Apia L Tigers	3-2 W	1-2 L
University NSW	3-1 W	2-3 L
Blacktown City	1-2 L	2-4 L
St George Saints	2-1 W	0-0 D
Sydney United 58	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sutherland Sharks (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sutherland Sharks

WWLWWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
26/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
18/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
11/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
04/07	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	3-2	4	4	W
27/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
20/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
13/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
06/06	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
31/05	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W

Sydney FC U21

WDWWWLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	2-4	2	0	L
25/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
17/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
11/07	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	7	3	L
04/07	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-2	2-3	5	0	L
30/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
26/06	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
21/06	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	3-2	4	6	W
12/06	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	0	10	D
05/06	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutherland Sharks win (48%). Probabilities: Sutherland Sharks 48%, draw 26%, Sydney FC U21 26%.

How many goals are expected in Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC U21?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Sutherland Sharks 1.65 · Sydney FC U21 1.14), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC U21?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.