Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 08/08, 11:15

Prediction: St George City FA vs Rockdale Ilinden FC

Team pages: St George City FA · Rockdale Ilinden FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

St George City FA1.06

Rockdale Ilinden FC1.56

1X2

25% 27% 48%

St George City FA Draw Rockdale Ilinden FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

St George City FA 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLDLLWW

Rockdale Ilinden FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLWWDLWLD

Head-to-head

St George City FA 0–1–5 Rockdale Ilinden FC (6 last)

Rockdale Ilinden FC1-0St George City FA
St George City FA1-4Rockdale Ilinden FC
St George City FA0-2Rockdale Ilinden FC
Rockdale Ilinden FC2-2St George City FA
Rockdale Ilinden FC2-0St George City FA
St George City FA1-2Rockdale Ilinden FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St George City FA 1502 · Rockdale Ilinden FC 1533

	St George City FA	Draw	Rockdale Ilinden FC
Our model	25%	28%	48%
Market	26%	26%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rockdale Ilinden FC: 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St George City FA	Rockdale Ilinden FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.3	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.2	3 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.2 / 0	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.50

X3.50

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
09:13 +2’	3.50	3.50	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · St George City FA 0–1–5 Rockdale Ilinden FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	1-0 HT 0-0	St George City FA
24/05/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George City FA	1-4 HT 1-1	Rockdale Ilinden FC
09/04/25 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	St George City FA	0-2 HT 0-1	Rockdale Ilinden FC
08/02/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	2-2 HT 0-1	St George City FA
26/05/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	2-0 HT 1-0	St George City FA
17/02/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George City FA	1-2 HT 0-1	Rockdale Ilinden FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	26	19	3	4	59	32	60
2	Marconi Stallions	26	17	4	5	46	18	55
3	Sydney United 58	26	17	3	6	37	18	54
4	Sutherland Sharks	26	13	3	10	42	33	42
5	Rockdale Ilinden FC	26	11	4	11	42	39	37
6	Sydney FC U21	26	10	6	10	34	38	36
7	SD Raiders	26	10	5	11	38	44	35
8	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	26	10	5	11	51	40	35
9	Manly Utd	26	9	8	9	30	30	35
10	Blacktown City	26	9	7	10	41	39	34
11	Wollongong Wolves	26	9	5	12	29	36	32
12	University NSW	26	9	4	13	37	42	31
13	NWS Spirit FC	26	9	4	13	28	36	31
14	St George City FA	26	8	7	11	24	40	31
15	St George Saints	26	6	2	18	25	48	20
16	Sydney Olympic	26	5	4	17	27	57	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St George City FA	Rockdale Ilinden FC
Marconi Stallions	1-0 W	1-1 D
Sydney United 58	1-0 W	0-1 L
Blacktown City	0-3 L	2-1 W
SD Raiders	1-3 L	0-1 L
NWS Spirit FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Sydney Olympic	1-1 D	4-0 W
St George Saints	1-0 W	6-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Rockdale Ilinden FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St George City FA

WDDWLDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
25/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-3	2	0	L
11/07	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
05/07	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-3	3	0	D
27/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-3	3	0	L
20/06	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
13/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
06/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
30/05	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W

Rockdale Ilinden FC

DWLWWDLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-1	9	4	D
26/07	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-3	6	4	L
18/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-1	6-1	1	5	W
12/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
05/07	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
28/06	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
20/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
14/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
07/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
30/05	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St George City FA vs Rockdale Ilinden FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rockdale Ilinden FC win (48%). Probabilities: St George City FA 25%, draw 27%, Rockdale Ilinden FC 48%.

How many goals are expected in St George City FA vs Rockdale Ilinden FC?

The model expects 2.62 goals (St George City FA 1.06 · Rockdale Ilinden FC 1.56), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in St George City FA vs Rockdale Ilinden FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.