Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 09/08, 07:00

Prediction: Wollongong Wolves vs Sydney United 58

Team pages: Wollongong Wolves · Sydney United 58

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Wollongong Wolves0.81

Sydney United 581.54

1X2

20% 26% 55%

Wollongong Wolves Draw Sydney United 58

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wollongong Wolves 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLLLL

Sydney United 58 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLDWWDLW

Head-to-head

Wollongong Wolves 3–1–2 Sydney United 58 (6 last)

Sydney United 580-1Wollongong Wolves
Sydney United 583-0Wollongong Wolves
Sydney United 580-0Wollongong Wolves
Wollongong Wolves1-2Sydney United 58
Wollongong Wolves3-2Sydney United 58
Sydney United 581-2Wollongong Wolves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wollongong Wolves 1400 · Sydney United 58 1522

	Wollongong Wolves	Draw	Sydney United 58
Our model	19%	28%	53%
Market	21%	24%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney United 58 (rating 1400 vs 1522).
H2H favours Wollongong Wolves: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wollongong Wolves	Sydney United 58
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.2	0.9 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.4	0.4 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	1.9 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.80

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:27 +5’	4.33	3.80	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wollongong Wolves 3–1–2 Sydney United 58

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	0-1 HT 0-1	Wollongong Wolves
09/04/26 Australia Cup Qualifying	Sydney United 58	3-0 HT 1-0	Wollongong Wolves
13/07/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	0-0 HT 0-0	Wollongong Wolves
30/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Wollongong Wolves	1-2 HT 0-1	Sydney United 58
02/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Wollongong Wolves	3-2 HT 0-2	Sydney United 58
25/02/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	1-2 HT 0-1	Wollongong Wolves

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	26	19	3	4	59	32	60
2	Marconi Stallions	26	17	4	5	46	18	55
3	Sydney United 58	26	17	3	6	37	18	54
4	Sutherland Sharks	26	13	3	10	42	33	42
5	Rockdale Ilinden FC	26	11	4	11	42	39	37
6	Sydney FC U21	26	10	6	10	34	38	36
7	SD Raiders	26	10	5	11	38	44	35
8	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	26	10	5	11	51	40	35
9	Manly Utd	26	9	8	9	30	30	35
10	Blacktown City	26	9	7	10	41	39	34
11	Wollongong Wolves	26	9	5	12	29	36	32
12	University NSW	26	9	4	13	37	42	31
13	NWS Spirit FC	26	9	4	13	28	36	31
14	St George City FA	26	8	7	11	24	40	31
15	St George Saints	26	6	2	18	25	48	20
16	Sydney Olympic	26	5	4	17	27	57	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wollongong Wolves	Sydney United 58
Blacktown City	0-2 L	0-0 D
SD Raiders	2-3 L	1-0 W
St George City FA	3-3 D	0-1 L
NWS Spirit FC	0-2 L	2-0 W
Sydney FC U21	2-3 L	0-1 L
Marconi Stallions	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Sydney United 58 (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wollongong Wolves

LLLLLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
26/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
18/07	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-1	2-3	3	8	L
11/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	2-3	1	0	L
05/07	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	3-3	8	0	D
27/06	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
21/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	2-3	4	6	L
13/06	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	0	L
07/06	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
30/05	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	6	L

Sydney United 58

WDWLDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
25/07	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
22/07	Central Coast Mariners Australia Cup	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
19/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
12/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
05/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
26/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
21/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
12/06	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
06/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wollongong Wolves vs Sydney United 58?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sydney United 58 win (55%). Probabilities: Wollongong Wolves 20%, draw 26%, Sydney United 58 55%.

How many goals are expected in Wollongong Wolves vs Sydney United 58?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Wollongong Wolves 0.81 · Sydney United 58 1.54), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Wollongong Wolves vs Sydney United 58?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.