Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 01/08, 08:00

Prediction: Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong Wolves

Team pages: Sutherland Sharks · Wollongong Wolves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Sutherland Sharks1.67

Wollongong Wolves1.42

1X2

42% 26% 32%

Sutherland Sharks Draw Wollongong Wolves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sutherland Sharks 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWLDW

Wollongong Wolves 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDLLL

Head-to-head

Sutherland Sharks 0–6 Wollongong Wolves (6 last)

Wollongong Wolves2-1Sutherland Sharks
Sutherland Sharks1-3Wollongong Wolves
Wollongong Wolves4-0Sutherland Sharks
Wollongong Wolves2-1Sutherland Sharks
Sutherland Sharks0-4Wollongong Wolves
Wollongong Wolves2-0Sutherland Sharks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sutherland Sharks 1560 · Wollongong Wolves 1416

	Sutherland Sharks	Draw	Wollongong Wolves
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	43%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sutherland Sharks (rating 1560 vs 1416).
H2H favours Wollongong Wolves: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sutherland Sharks	Wollongong Wolves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	0.7 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	1.8 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:10 +1’	2.10	3.50	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutherland Sharks 0–0–6 Wollongong Wolves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Wollongong Wolves	2-1 HT 1-1	Sutherland Sharks
26/07/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sutherland Sharks	1-3 HT 0-2	Wollongong Wolves
13/04/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Wollongong Wolves	4-0 HT 0-0	Sutherland Sharks
12/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Wollongong Wolves	2-1 HT 1-0	Sutherland Sharks
06/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sutherland Sharks	0-4 HT 0-2	Wollongong Wolves
26/05/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Wollongong Wolves	2-0 HT 1-0	Sutherland Sharks

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	25	18	3	4	56	31	57
2	Marconi Stallions	25	17	4	4	46	17	55
3	Sydney United 58	25	16	3	6	35	18	51
4	Sutherland Sharks	25	12	3	10	40	32	39
5	Rockdale Ilinden FC	25	12	3	10	43	36	39
6	Sydney FC U21	25	10	6	9	32	34	36
7	Manly Utd	25	9	7	9	29	29	34
8	SD Raiders	25	9	5	11	35	42	32
9	Wollongong Wolves	25	9	5	11	28	34	32
10	University NSW	25	9	4	12	36	40	31
11	NWS Spirit FC	24	9	4	11	28	30	31
12	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	24	8	5	11	45	39	29
13	Blacktown City	25	7	7	11	35	39	28
14	St George City FA	25	7	7	11	23	40	28
15	St George Saints	25	6	2	17	23	45	20
16	Sydney Olympic	25	5	4	16	26	54	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sutherland Sharks	Wollongong Wolves
Sydney Olympic	1-1 D	2-3 L
Apia L Tigers	3-2 W	0-2 L
University NSW	3-1 W	0-1 L
Blacktown City	1-2 L	0-2 L
St George Saints	2-1 W	2-0 W
NWS Spirit FC	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Sutherland Sharks (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sutherland Sharks

WWWLWWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
18/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
11/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
04/07	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	3-2	4	4	W
27/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
20/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
13/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
06/06	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
31/05	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
23/05	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W

Wollongong Wolves

WLLLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
18/07	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-1	2-3	3	8	L
11/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	2-3	1	0	L
05/07	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	3-3	8	0	D
27/06	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
21/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	2-3	4	6	L
13/06	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	0	L
07/06	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
30/05	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
24/05	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	3	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong Wolves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutherland Sharks win (42%). Probabilities: Sutherland Sharks 42%, draw 26%, Wollongong Wolves 32%.

How many goals are expected in Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong Wolves?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Sutherland Sharks 1.67 · Wollongong Wolves 1.42), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong Wolves?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.