Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 02/08, 07:00

Prediction: Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Manly Utd

Team pages: Rockdale Ilinden FC · Manly Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Rockdale Ilinden FC1.68

Manly Utd1.06

1X2

51% 25% 23%

Rockdale Ilinden FC Draw Manly Utd

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Rockdale Ilinden FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWDLWL

Manly Utd 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDLDWDWWDW

Head-to-head

Rockdale Ilinden FC 1–4–1 Manly Utd (6 last)

Manly Utd4-1Rockdale Ilinden FC
Rockdale Ilinden FC0-0Manly Utd
Manly Utd1-1Rockdale Ilinden FC
Rockdale Ilinden FC4-0Manly Utd
Rockdale Ilinden FC2-2Manly Utd
Manly Utd1-1Rockdale Ilinden FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rockdale Ilinden FC 1509 · Manly Utd 1560

	Rockdale Ilinden FC	Draw	Manly Utd
Our model	51%	26%	23%
Market	52%	24%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manly Utd (rating 1509 vs 1560).
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rockdale Ilinden FC	Manly Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.6	1.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.75

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:25 +4’	1.73	3.75	3.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rockdale Ilinden FC 1–4–1 Manly Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Manly Utd	4-1 HT 1-0	Rockdale Ilinden FC
24/08/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Manly Utd
09/05/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Manly Utd	1-1 HT 0-1	Rockdale Ilinden FC
16/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	4-0 HT 2-0	Manly Utd
10/04/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Rockdale Ilinden FC	2-2 HT 1-1	Manly Utd
09/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Manly Utd	1-1 HT 1-1	Rockdale Ilinden FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	25	18	3	4	56	31	57
2	Marconi Stallions	25	17	4	4	46	17	55
3	Sydney United 58	25	16	3	6	35	18	51
4	Sutherland Sharks	25	12	3	10	40	32	39
5	Rockdale Ilinden FC	25	12	3	10	43	36	39
6	Sydney FC U21	25	10	6	9	32	34	36
7	Manly Utd	25	9	7	9	29	29	34
8	SD Raiders	25	9	5	11	35	42	32
9	Wollongong Wolves	25	9	5	11	28	34	32
10	University NSW	25	9	4	12	36	40	31
11	NWS Spirit FC	24	9	4	11	28	30	31
12	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	24	8	5	11	45	39	29
13	Blacktown City	25	7	7	11	35	39	28
14	St George City FA	25	7	7	11	23	40	28
15	St George Saints	25	6	2	17	23	45	20
16	Sydney Olympic	25	5	4	16	26	54	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rockdale Ilinden FC	Manly Utd
Sutherland Sharks	1-3 L	2-1 W
St George Saints	6-1 W	2-0 W
Sydney United 58	0-1 L	1-1 D
Apia L Tigers	2-0 W	0-2 L
Sydney Olympic	4-0 W	4-0 W
SD Raiders	0-1 L	1-0 W
Blacktown City	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 3 L	4 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Rockdale Ilinden FC

LDWLWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-3	6	4	L
18/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-1	6-1	1	5	W
12/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
05/07	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
28/06	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
20/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
14/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
07/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
30/05	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
27/05	Apia L Tigers Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	0-1	6	6	L

Manly Utd

WDLDWDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
17/07	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
11/07	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
04/07	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
27/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-1	3-3	2	4	D
20/06	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	10	2	W
12/06	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
06/06	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
30/05	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
23/05	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	2	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Manly Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rockdale Ilinden FC win (51%). Probabilities: Rockdale Ilinden FC 51%, draw 25%, Manly Utd 23%.

How many goals are expected in Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Manly Utd?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Rockdale Ilinden FC 1.68 · Manly Utd 1.06), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Manly Utd?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.