Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 02/08, 07:00

Prediction: Marconi Stallions vs St George City FA

Team pages: Marconi Stallions · St George City FA

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Marconi Stallions1.77

St George City FA0.7

1X2

63% 23% 14%

Marconi Stallions Draw St George City FA

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Marconi Stallions 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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St George City FA 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDDWLDLLW

Head-to-head

Marconi Stallions 4–2 St George City FA (6 last)

St George City FA1-2Marconi Stallions
St George City FA2-1Marconi Stallions
Marconi Stallions3-1St George City FA
Marconi Stallions2-1St George City FA
St George City FA2-1Marconi Stallions
St George City FA0-2Marconi Stallions

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marconi Stallions 1533 · St George City FA 1470

	Marconi Stallions	Draw	St George City FA
Our model	62%	25%	13%
Market	64%	21%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marconi Stallions (rating 1533 vs 1470).
H2H favours Marconi Stallions: 4-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marconi Stallions	St George City FA
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.5	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	0.9 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.3	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.20

26.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
03:25 +4’	1.40	4.20	6.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Marconi Stallions 4–0–2 St George City FA

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George City FA	1-2 HT 1-0	Marconi Stallions
19/07/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George City FA	2-1 HT 0-1	Marconi Stallions
05/04/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	3-1 HT 1-1	St George City FA
13/07/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	2-1 HT 1-0	St George City FA
06/04/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George City FA	2-1 HT 2-1	Marconi Stallions
10/06/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George City FA	0-2 HT 0-0	Marconi Stallions

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	25	18	3	4	56	31	57
2	Marconi Stallions	25	17	4	4	46	17	55
3	Sydney United 58	25	16	3	6	35	18	51
4	Sutherland Sharks	25	12	3	10	40	32	39
5	Rockdale Ilinden FC	25	12	3	10	43	36	39
6	Sydney FC U21	25	10	6	9	32	34	36
7	Manly Utd	25	9	7	9	29	29	34
8	SD Raiders	25	9	5	11	35	42	32
9	Wollongong Wolves	25	9	5	11	28	34	32
10	University NSW	25	9	4	12	36	40	31
11	NWS Spirit FC	24	9	4	11	28	30	31
12	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	24	8	5	11	45	39	29
13	Blacktown City	25	7	7	11	35	39	28
14	St George City FA	25	7	7	11	23	40	28
15	St George Saints	25	6	2	17	23	45	20
16	Sydney Olympic	25	5	4	16	26	54	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marconi Stallions	St George City FA
SD Raiders	1-2 L	1-3 L
Sydney United 58	0-1 L	1-0 W
Western Sydney Wanderers U21	3-0 W	1-1 D
St George Saints	2-0 W	1-0 W
Blacktown City	2-0 W	0-3 L
University NSW	1-0 W	0-2 L
Wollongong Wolves	1-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Marconi Stallions (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marconi Stallions

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-2	4	3	L
19/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
12/07	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
05/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
28/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	10	4	W
21/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
12/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	9	10	D
07/06	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
30/05	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
24/05	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	2	4	D

St George City FA

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
19/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-3	2	0	L
11/07	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
05/07	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-3	3	0	D
27/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-3	3	0	L
20/06	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
13/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
06/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
30/05	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
23/05	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	2	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marconi Stallions vs St George City FA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Marconi Stallions win (63%). Probabilities: Marconi Stallions 63%, draw 23%, St George City FA 14%.

How many goals are expected in Marconi Stallions vs St George City FA?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Marconi Stallions 1.77 · St George City FA 0.7), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Marconi Stallions vs St George City FA?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.