Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 02/08, 06:30

Prediction: Sydney United 58 vs NWS Spirit FC

Team pages: Sydney United 58 · NWS Spirit FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Sydney United 581.41

NWS Spirit FC0.99

1X2

46% 27% 26%

Sydney United 58 Draw NWS Spirit FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sydney United 58 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLDWWDL

NWS Spirit FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWDWLL

Head-to-head

Sydney United 58 2–2–2 NWS Spirit FC (6 last)

NWS Spirit FC2-3Sydney United 58
Sydney United 580-2NWS Spirit FC
NWS Spirit FC1-1Sydney United 58
Sydney United 583-0NWS Spirit FC
NWS Spirit FC2-1Sydney United 58
NWS Spirit FC1-1Sydney United 58

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sydney United 58 1536 · NWS Spirit FC 1450

	Sydney United 58	Draw	NWS Spirit FC
Our model	45%	29%	25%
Market	47%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney United 58 (rating 1536 vs 1450).
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sydney United 58	NWS Spirit FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 0.5	1.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.2	2.2 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 1.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:25 +3’	1.91	3.50	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney United 58 2–2–2 NWS Spirit FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	NWS Spirit FC	2-3 HT 0-0	Sydney United 58
29/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	0-2 HT 0-1	NWS Spirit FC
15/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	NWS Spirit FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Sydney United 58
12/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	3-0 HT 1-0	NWS Spirit FC
05/06/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	NWS Spirit FC	2-1 HT 0-1	Sydney United 58
05/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	NWS Spirit FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Sydney United 58

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	25	18	3	4	56	31	57
2	Marconi Stallions	25	17	4	4	46	17	55
3	Sydney United 58	25	16	3	6	35	18	51
4	Sutherland Sharks	25	12	3	10	40	32	39
5	Rockdale Ilinden FC	25	12	3	10	43	36	39
6	Sydney FC U21	25	10	6	9	32	34	36
7	Manly Utd	25	9	7	9	29	29	34
8	SD Raiders	25	9	5	11	35	42	32
9	Wollongong Wolves	25	9	5	11	28	34	32
10	University NSW	25	9	4	12	36	40	31
11	NWS Spirit FC	24	9	4	11	28	30	31
12	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	24	8	5	11	45	39	29
13	Blacktown City	25	7	7	11	35	39	28
14	St George City FA	25	7	7	11	23	40	28
15	St George Saints	25	6	2	17	23	45	20
16	Sydney Olympic	25	5	4	16	26	54	19

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sydney United 58	NWS Spirit FC
St George City FA	0-1 L	0-1 L
Rockdale Ilinden FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Sydney FC U21	0-1 L	0-1 L
Western Sydney Wanderers U21	2-0 W	0-4 L
Sutherland Sharks	0-1 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sydney United 58 (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sydney United 58

LWDWLDWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
22/07	Central Coast Mariners Australia Cup	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
19/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
12/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
05/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
26/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
21/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
12/06	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
06/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
31/05	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	16	1	L

NWS Spirit FC

LLLWLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-4	8	0	L
18/07	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-3	1	5	L
11/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	5	6	W
05/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	1	1	D
27/06	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	2-0	11	3	W
20/06	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
13/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-0	7	5	W
05/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
30/05	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-2	6	5	L
23/05	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sydney United 58 vs NWS Spirit FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sydney United 58 win (46%). Probabilities: Sydney United 58 46%, draw 27%, NWS Spirit FC 26%.

How many goals are expected in Sydney United 58 vs NWS Spirit FC?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Sydney United 58 1.41 · NWS Spirit FC 0.99), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sydney United 58 vs NWS Spirit FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.