Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 25/07, 09:00

Prediction: SD Raiders vs Marconi Stallions

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

SD Raiders0.8

Marconi Stallions1.92

1X2

14% 22% 63%

SD Raiders Draw Marconi Stallions

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

SD Raiders 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLLLWW

Marconi Stallions 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWDWWWWL

Head-to-head

SD Raiders 0–1–2 Marconi Stallions (3 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SD Raiders 1503 · Marconi Stallions 1559

	SD Raiders	Draw	Marconi Stallions
Our model	14%	23%	63%
Market	15%	21%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marconi Stallions (rating 1503 vs 1559).
H2H favours Marconi Stallions: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SD Raiders	Marconi Stallions
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.4 / 0.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	2.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

16.00

X4.20

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.88

2 (-1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.05

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:59 +10’	6.00	4.20	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Raiders 0–1–2 Marconi Stallions

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Marconi Stallions	6-1 HT 2-0	SD Raiders
24/04/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	SD Raiders	2-4 HT 1-0	Marconi Stallions
16/05/18 Australia FFA Cup	SD Raiders	0-0	Marconi Stallions

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Marconi Stallions	24	17	4	3	45	15	55
2	Apia L Tigers	24	17	3	4	52	30	54
3	Sydney United 58	24	16	3	5	35	17	51
4	Rockdale Ilinden FC	24	12	3	9	42	33	39
5	Sutherland Sharks	24	11	3	10	37	31	36
6	Sydney FC U21	24	10	5	9	32	34	35
7	Wollongong Wolves	24	9	5	10	28	32	32
8	NWS Spirit FC	24	9	4	11	28	30	31
9	Manly Utd	24	8	7	9	25	29	31
10	University NSW	24	9	4	11	35	36	31
11	SD Raiders	24	8	5	11	33	41	29
12	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	24	8	5	11	45	39	29
13	Blacktown City	24	6	7	11	33	39	25
14	St George City FA	24	6	7	11	22	40	25
15	St George Saints	24	6	1	17	23	45	19
16	Sydney Olympic	24	5	4	15	26	50	19

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SD Raiders	Marconi Stallions
Wollongong Wolves	3-2 W	1-0 W
Blacktown City	1-3 L	2-0 W
Sydney FC U21	0-1 L	0-0 D
Sydney United 58	0-1 L	0-1 L
Rockdale Ilinden FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
University NSW	2-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SD Raiders

WDWLWLLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-2	3-2	4	8	W
14/07	Rochedale Rovers Australia Cup	1-0	2-1	8	4	W
11/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	1-3	5	3	L
04/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
30/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
27/06	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	3-1	5	0	W
21/06	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
14/06	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
10/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	5	6	D
06/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	1	4	W

Marconi Stallions

WDDWDWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
12/07	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
05/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
28/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	10	4	W
21/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
12/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	9	10	D
07/06	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
30/05	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
24/05	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
16/05	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SD Raiders vs Marconi Stallions?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Marconi Stallions win (63%). Probabilities: SD Raiders 14%, draw 22%, Marconi Stallions 63%.

How many goals are expected in SD Raiders vs Marconi Stallions?

The model expects 2.71 goals (SD Raiders 0.8 · Marconi Stallions 1.92), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SD Raiders vs Marconi Stallions?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.