Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 25/07, 09:30

Prediction: NWS Spirit FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

NWS Spirit FC2.06

Western Sydney Wanderers U211.29

1X2

54% 24% 23%

NWS Spirit FC Draw Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

NWS Spirit FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLWDWL

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLDLDWLL

Head-to-head

NWS Spirit FC 3–2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NWS Spirit FC 1471 · Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1484

	NWS Spirit FC	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Our model	54%	23%	23%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours NWS Spirit FC: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	NWS Spirit FC	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	2.3 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	1.1 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.9	1.6 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.75

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
06:07 +2’	1.67	3.75	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · NWS Spirit FC 3–2–1 Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	1-1 HT 0-0	NWS Spirit FC
21/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	NWS Spirit FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
08/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	2-3 HT 2-2	NWS Spirit FC
15/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	NWS Spirit FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
09/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	4-1 HT 1-1	NWS Spirit FC
27/08/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	3-3 HT 2-0	NWS Spirit FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Marconi Stallions	24	17	4	3	45	15	55
2	Apia L Tigers	24	17	3	4	52	30	54
3	Sydney United 58	24	16	3	5	35	17	51
4	Rockdale Ilinden FC	24	12	3	9	42	33	39
5	Sutherland Sharks	24	11	3	10	37	31	36
6	Sydney FC U21	24	10	5	9	32	34	35
7	Wollongong Wolves	24	9	5	10	28	32	32
8	NWS Spirit FC	24	9	4	11	28	30	31
9	Manly Utd	24	8	7	9	25	29	31
10	University NSW	24	9	4	11	35	36	31
11	SD Raiders	24	8	5	11	33	41	29
12	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	24	8	5	11	45	39	29
13	Blacktown City	24	6	7	11	33	39	25
14	St George City FA	24	6	7	11	22	40	25
15	St George Saints	24	6	1	17	23	45	19
16	Sydney Olympic	24	5	4	15	26	50	19

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	NWS Spirit FC	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Rockdale Ilinden FC	1-1 D	5-0 W
St George City FA	0-1 L	1-1 D
Sydney Olympic	3-0 W	2-1 W
Sydney FC U21	0-1 L	6-0 W
Apia L Tigers	1-2 L	3-5 L
Sutherland Sharks	0-1 L	0-3 L
Marconi Stallions	0-3 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NWS Spirit FC

LLLLWLWDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-3	1	5	L
11/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	5	6	W
05/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	1	1	D
27/06	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	2-0	11	3	W
20/06	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
13/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-0	7	5	W
05/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
30/05	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-2	6	5	L
23/05	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
16/05	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-3	7	2	L

Western Sydney Wanderers U21

DWWLDLDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-2	3-5	3	4	L
12/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
04/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
27/06	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-2	3-3	3	4	D
20/06	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
13/06	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
06/06	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
29/05	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	6-0	1	2	W
24/05	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	5-0	3	5	W
16/05	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	3-3	5	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NWS Spirit FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21?

According to our model, the most likely result is a NWS Spirit FC win (54%). Probabilities: NWS Spirit FC 54%, draw 24%, Western Sydney Wanderers U21 23%.

How many goals are expected in NWS Spirit FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21?

The model expects 3.35 goals (NWS Spirit FC 2.06 · Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1.29), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in NWS Spirit FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.