Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 25/07, 11:15

Prediction: St George City FA vs Sydney United 58

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.15Total

St George City FA0.8

Sydney United 581.36

1X2

22% 27% 50%

St George City FA Draw Sydney United 58

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

0-1

Recent form · 10 last

St George City FA 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWLDLL

Sydney United 58 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWLDWW

Head-to-head

St George City FA 2–1–3 Sydney United 58 (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St George City FA 1461 · Sydney United 58 1564

	St George City FA	Draw	Sydney United 58
Our model	21%	30%	49%
Market	23%	25%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney United 58 (rating 1461 vs 1564).
H2H favours Sydney United 58: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St George City FA	Sydney United 58
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 2.7	2.9 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	0.9 / 0	2.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.80

X3.60

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.02

2 (-0.5)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.1

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
06:04 +5’	3.80	3.60	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · St George City FA 2–1–3 Sydney United 58

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	0-0 HT 0-0	St George City FA
31/08/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George City FA	0-2 HT 0-0	Sydney United 58
18/05/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	1-0 HT 0-0	St George City FA
25/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	1-0 HT 0-0	St George City FA
18/05/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George City FA	2-1 HT 0-1	Sydney United 58
20/08/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	0-2 HT 0-1	St George City FA

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Marconi Stallions	24	17	4	3	45	15	55
2	Apia L Tigers	24	17	3	4	52	30	54
3	Sydney United 58	24	16	3	5	35	17	51
4	Rockdale Ilinden FC	24	12	3	9	42	33	39
5	Sutherland Sharks	24	11	3	10	37	31	36
6	Sydney FC U21	24	10	5	9	32	34	35
7	Wollongong Wolves	24	9	5	10	28	32	32
8	NWS Spirit FC	24	9	4	11	28	30	31
9	Manly Utd	24	8	7	9	25	29	31
10	University NSW	24	9	4	11	35	36	31
11	SD Raiders	24	8	5	11	33	41	29
12	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	24	8	5	11	45	39	29
13	Blacktown City	24	6	7	11	33	39	25
14	St George City FA	24	6	7	11	22	40	25
15	St George Saints	24	6	1	17	23	45	19
16	Sydney Olympic	24	5	4	15	26	50	19

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St George City FA	Sydney United 58
Blacktown City	0-3 L	0-0 D
University NSW	0-2 L	0-2 L
SD Raiders	1-3 L	1-0 W
Western Sydney Wanderers U21	1-1 D	2-0 W
Manly Utd	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sydney United 58 (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

St George City FA

WLWDDWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-3	2	0	L
11/07	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
05/07	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-3	3	0	D
27/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-3	3	0	L
20/06	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	0	1	W
13/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
06/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	8	1	D
30/05	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
23/05	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	2	0	L
16/05	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	2-1	1	2	W

Sydney United 58

LWLWDWLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
12/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
05/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
26/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
21/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
12/06	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	7	4	D
06/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
31/05	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	16	1	L
27/05	Blacktown City Australia Cup Qualifying	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
23/05	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St George City FA vs Sydney United 58?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sydney United 58 win (50%). Probabilities: St George City FA 22%, draw 27%, Sydney United 58 50%.

How many goals are expected in St George City FA vs Sydney United 58?

The model expects 2.15 goals (St George City FA 0.8 · Sydney United 58 1.36), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in St George City FA vs Sydney United 58?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.