Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 26/07, 07:00

Prediction: Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Sutherland Sharks

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Rockdale Ilinden FC1.69

Sutherland Sharks1.24

1X2

48% 24% 28%

Rockdale Ilinden FC Draw Sutherland Sharks

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Rockdale Ilinden FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWLWWDLW

Sutherland Sharks 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWWWLD

Head-to-head

Rockdale Ilinden FC 3–1–2 Sutherland Sharks (6 last)

Sutherland Sharks3-1Rockdale Ilinden FC
Rockdale Ilinden FC1-2Sutherland Sharks
Rockdale Ilinden FC6-0Sutherland Sharks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rockdale Ilinden FC 1505 · Sutherland Sharks 1558

	Rockdale Ilinden FC	Draw	Sutherland Sharks
Our model	47%	26%	27%
Market	48%	23%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sutherland Sharks (rating 1505 vs 1558).
H2H favours Rockdale Ilinden FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rockdale Ilinden FC	Sutherland Sharks
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.8 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.90

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	3.80 → 3.90▲	Bet365 3.90
2	3.20 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
07:07 +7’	1.85	3.80	3.20
08:13 +1’	1.85	3.90▲	3.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

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Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rockdale Ilinden FC 3–1–2 Sutherland Sharks

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sutherland Sharks	3-1 HT 2-0	Rockdale Ilinden FC
29/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Sutherland Sharks
22/04/25 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Rockdale Ilinden FC	6-0 HT 4-0	Sutherland Sharks
16/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sutherland Sharks	2-3 HT 1-1	Rockdale Ilinden FC
11/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Rockdale Ilinden FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Sutherland Sharks
04/05/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sutherland Sharks	0-3 HT 0-1	Rockdale Ilinden FC

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Marconi Stallions	24	17	4	3	45	15	55
2	Apia L Tigers	24	17	3	4	52	30	54
3	Sydney United 58	24	16	3	5	35	17	51
4	Rockdale Ilinden FC	24	12	3	9	42	33	39
5	Sutherland Sharks	24	11	3	10	37	31	36
6	Sydney FC U21	24	10	5	9	32	34	35
7	Wollongong Wolves	24	9	5	10	28	32	32
8	NWS Spirit FC	24	9	4	11	28	30	31
9	Manly Utd	24	8	7	9	25	29	31
10	University NSW	24	9	4	11	35	36	31
11	SD Raiders	24	8	5	11	33	41	29
12	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	24	8	5	11	45	39	29
13	Blacktown City	24	6	7	11	33	39	25
14	St George City FA	24	6	7	11	22	40	25
15	St George Saints	24	6	1	17	23	45	19
16	Sydney Olympic	24	5	4	15	26	50	19

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rockdale Ilinden FC	Sutherland Sharks
St George Saints	6-1 W	2-1 W
Sydney United 58	0-1 L	1-0 W
NWS Spirit FC	1-1 D	1-0 W
Apia L Tigers	2-0 W	3-2 W
Sydney Olympic	4-0 W	1-1 D
SD Raiders	0-1 L	2-2 D
Blacktown City	2-1 W	1-2 L
Western Sydney Wanderers U21	0-5 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Rockdale Ilinden FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-1	6-1	1	5	W
12/07	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
05/07	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
28/06	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	8	3	W
20/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
14/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	8	6	L
07/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
30/05	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
27/05	Apia L Tigers Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
24/05	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-5	4	5	L

Sutherland Sharks

DWWWLWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
11/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
04/07	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	3-2	4	4	W
27/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
20/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	1	W
13/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
06/06	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	2	W
31/05	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
23/05	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
16/05	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	2-2	3	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Sutherland Sharks?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rockdale Ilinden FC win (48%). Probabilities: Rockdale Ilinden FC 48%, draw 24%, Sutherland Sharks 28%.

How many goals are expected in Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Sutherland Sharks?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Rockdale Ilinden FC 1.69 · Sutherland Sharks 1.24), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rockdale Ilinden FC vs Sutherland Sharks?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.