Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 17/07, 11:30
Prediction: Sydney FC U21 vs Manly Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Sydney FC U211.32
Manly Utd1.2
1X2
Sydney FC U21
Draw
Manly Utd
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sydney FC U21
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Manly Utd
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sydney FC U21
3–2–1
Manly Utd
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sydney FC U21 1511 · Manly Utd 1510
| Sydney FC U21 | Draw | Manly Utd | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sydney FC U21: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sydney FC U21 | Manly Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney FC U21 3–2–1 Manly Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Manly Utd | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sydney FC U21 |
| 15/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Manly Utd | 0-6 HT 0-2 | Sydney FC U21 |
| 28/02/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Manly Utd | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sydney FC U21 |
| 31/05/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Manly Utd | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sydney FC U21 |
| 23/02/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney FC U21 | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Manly Utd |
| 09/06/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney FC U21 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Manly Utd |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 45 | 14 | 55 |
| 2 | Apia L Tigers | 23 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 47 | 27 | 51 |
| 3 | Sydney United 58 | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 36 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 23 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 30 | 35 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U21 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 34 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 29 | 32 |
| 8 | NWS Spirit FC | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 31 |
| 9 | Manly Utd | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 29 | 30 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 42 | 34 | 29 |
| 11 | University NSW | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 28 |
| 12 | SD Raiders | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 26 |
| 13 | St George City FA | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 37 | 25 |
| 14 | Blacktown City | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 22 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 23 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 22 | 39 | 19 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 25 | 49 | 18 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sydney FC U21 | Manly Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Apia L Tigers | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| SD Raiders | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Sydney United 58 | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Wollongong Wolves | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 0-6 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sydney FC U21 (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sydney FC U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 30/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 05/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
Manly Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 16/05 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Sydney United 58 Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sydney FC U21 vs Manly Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sydney FC U21 win (39%). Probabilities: Sydney FC U21 39%, draw 27%, Manly Utd 33%.
How many goals are expected in Sydney FC U21 vs Manly Utd?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Sydney FC U21 1.32 · Manly Utd 1.2), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sydney FC U21 vs Manly Utd?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.