Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 18/07, 07:00

Prediction: Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Apia L Tigers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

Western Sydney Wanderers U211.26

Apia L Tigers2.27

1X2

19% 22% 59%

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Draw Apia L Tigers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

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Apia L Tigers 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWLLWW

Head-to-head

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 0–6 Apia L Tigers (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1488 · Apia L Tigers 1569

	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	Draw	Apia L Tigers
Our model	19%	21%	59%
Market	19%	22%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Apia L Tigers (rating 1488 vs 1569).
H2H favours Apia L Tigers: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	Apia L Tigers
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.1	3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.2	3.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Western Sydney Wanderers U21 0–0–6 Apia L Tigers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Apia L Tigers	4-1 HT 2-0	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
05/07/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	0-1 HT 0-1	Apia L Tigers
22/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Apia L Tigers	6-1 HT 4-1	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
03/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Apia L Tigers	5-3 HT 3-2	Western Sydney Wanderers U21
28/04/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	0-6 HT 0-2	Apia L Tigers
08/07/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Apia L Tigers	2-1 HT 1-1	Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Marconi Stallions	23	17	4	2	45	14	55
2	Apia L Tigers	23	16	3	4	47	27	51
3	Sydney United 58	23	15	3	5	34	17	48
4	Rockdale Ilinden FC	23	11	3	9	36	32	36
5	Sutherland Sharks	23	11	2	10	36	30	35
6	Sydney FC U21	23	10	4	9	32	34	34
7	Wollongong Wolves	23	9	5	9	26	29	32
8	NWS Spirit FC	23	9	4	10	27	27	31
9	Manly Utd	23	8	6	9	25	29	30
10	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	23	8	5	10	42	34	29
11	University NSW	23	8	4	11	32	35	28
12	SD Raiders	23	7	5	11	30	39	26
13	St George City FA	23	6	7	10	22	37	25
14	Blacktown City	23	5	7	11	30	39	22
15	St George Saints	23	6	1	16	22	39	19
16	Sydney Olympic	23	5	3	15	25	49	18

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	Apia L Tigers
Marconi Stallions	0-3 L	1-1 D
Manly Utd	3-3 D	2-0 W
Sutherland Sharks	0-3 L	2-3 L
Sydney FC U21	6-0 W	2-1 W
Rockdale Ilinden FC	5-0 W	0-2 L
Blacktown City	3-3 D	3-1 W
Wollongong Wolves	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Apia L Tigers (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Western Sydney Wanderers U21

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
04/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	2-1	4	1	W
27/06	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-2	3-3	3	4	D
20/06	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-3	6	1	L
13/06	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	4	2	D
06/06	Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
29/05	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	6-0	1	2	W
24/05	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	5-0	3	5	W
16/05	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	3-3	5	2	D
09/05	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	13	4	D

Apia L Tigers

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/07	Peninsula Power Australia Cup	1-0	2-1	9	5	W
11/07	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	2	3	W
04/07	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	2-3	12	4	L
28/06	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
21/06	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	7	2	W
13/06	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	6	0	W
06/06	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
30/05	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
27/05	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia Cup Qualifying	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
24/05	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Apia L Tigers?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Apia L Tigers win (59%). Probabilities: Western Sydney Wanderers U21 19%, draw 22%, Apia L Tigers 59%.

How many goals are expected in Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Apia L Tigers?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1.26 · Apia L Tigers 2.27), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Apia L Tigers?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.