Prediction: SD Raiders vs Blacktown City
Expected goals: 2.57 (SD Raiders 1.24 · Blacktown City 1.33). The model gives 34% home, 28% draw, 38% away. Under 2.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves SD Raiders with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Blacktown City has piled up 2-3-5 in the same span. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, SD Raiders won 2 and Blacktown City 1.
| SD Raiders | Draw | Blacktown City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 26% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SD Raiders (rating 1523 vs 1445).
- H2H favours SD Raiders: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SD Raiders | Blacktown City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Raiders 2–0–1 Blacktown City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Blacktown City | 1-2 HT 1-2 | SD Raiders |
| 04/06/25 Australia Cup Qualifying | Blacktown City | 1-2 HT 1-1 | SD Raiders |
| 22/01/22 Australia Friendlies | Blacktown City | 4-0 HT 2-0 | SD Raiders |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Apia L Tigers | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 45 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Sydney United 58 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 36 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 28 | 35 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U21 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 34 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | 32 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 42 | 31 | 29 |
| 9 | NWS Spirit FC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 26 | 28 |
| 10 | Manly Utd | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 27 |
| 11 | SD Raiders | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 26 |
| 12 | University NSW | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 25 |
| 13 | St George City FA | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 25 |
| 14 | Blacktown City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 19 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 21 | 36 | 19 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 22 | 47 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SD Raiders | Blacktown City |
|---|---|---|
| Manly Utd | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Sydney United 58 | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Rockdale Ilinden FC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Sydney Olympic | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Sutherland Sharks | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Blacktown City (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SD Raiders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/06 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 14/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | St George City FA Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
Blacktown City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Sydney United 58 Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SD Raiders vs Blacktown City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Blacktown City win (38%). Probabilities: SD Raiders 34%, draw 28%, Blacktown City 38%.
How many goals are expected in SD Raiders vs Blacktown City?
The model expects 2.57 goals (SD Raiders 1.24 · Blacktown City 1.33), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in SD Raiders vs Blacktown City?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.