Prediction: Sydney Olympic vs Wollongong Wolves

Expected goals: 2.76 (Sydney Olympic 1.3 · Wollongong Wolves 1.46). The model gives 33% home, 27% draw, 40% away. Under 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

On recent form, Sydney Olympic is 3-2-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Wollongong Wolves 2-3-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Sydney Olympic won 3 and Wollongong Wolves 1, with 2 draws.

40%2
33% 27% 40%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sydney Olympic 1469 · Wollongong Wolves 1467
Sydney OlympicDrawWollongong Wolves
Our model32%28%40%
Market33%26%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.76Sydney Olympic 1.3 · Wollongong Wolves 1.46
Over / Under 2.75Under 2.75 · 51%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sydney Olympic: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sydney OlympicWollongong Wolves
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.81 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 10.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.92.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 0.23.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney Olympic 321 Wollongong Wolves

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
Australia New South Wales Premier League
Wollongong Wolves2-1
HT 0-1
Sydney Olympic
07/06/25
Australia New South Wales Premier League
Wollongong Wolves0-2
HT 0-0
Sydney Olympic
22/02/25
Australia New South Wales Premier League
Sydney Olympic0-0
HT 0-0
Wollongong Wolves
07/07/24
Australia New South Wales Premier League
Wollongong Wolves1-2
HT 0-0
Sydney Olympic
30/03/24
Australia New South Wales Premier League
Sydney Olympic4-3
HT 0-2
Wollongong Wolves
13/08/23
Australia New South Wales Premier League
Wollongong Wolves2-2
HT 1-0
Sydney Olympic

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Marconi Stallions 221642 421452
2 Apia L Tigers 221534 452648
3 Sydney United 58 221435 331745
4 Rockdale Ilinden FC 221138 363136
5 Sutherland Sharks 221129 352835
6 Sydney FC U21 221048 313234
7 Wollongong Wolves 22958 242632
8 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 22859 423129
9 NWS Spirit FC 228410 242628
10 Manly Utd 22769 232827
11 SD Raiders 227510 293626
12 University NSW 227411 303525
13 St George City FA 22679 223525
14 Blacktown City 224711 273819
15 St George Saints 226115 213619
16 Sydney Olympic 224315 224715

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSydney OlympicWollongong Wolves
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 1-2 L 0-0 D
St George Saints 2-1 W 2-0 W
Rockdale Ilinden FC 0-4 L 2-2 D
NWS Spirit FC 0-3 L 0-2 L
St George City FA 1-1 D 3-3 D
Sydney FC U21 0-2 L 2-3 L
Marconi Stallions 0-2 L 0-1 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 5 L 1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wollongong Wolves (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sydney Olympic

LLWWDDLLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Australia New South Wales Premier League
1-1 1-2 41 L
27/06 St George Saints
Australia New South Wales Premier League
1-0 2-1 36 W
20/06 Rockdale Ilinden FC
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-3 0-4 01 L
13/06 NWS Spirit FC
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-2 0-3 15 L
10/06 SD Raiders
Australia New South Wales Premier League
1-0 1-1 26 D
06/06 St George City FA
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-0 1-1 31 D
27/05 Fraser Park
Australia Cup Qualifying
0-2 3-2 31 W
24/05 Blacktown City
Australia New South Wales Premier League
1-0 2-0 96 W
15/05 Sydney FC U21
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-1 0-2 82 L
09/05 Marconi Stallions
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-1 0-2 66 L

Wollongong Wolves

DDWWLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/07 St George City FA
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-2 3-3 80 D
27/06 NWS Spirit FC
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-2 0-2 23 L
21/06 Sydney FC U21
Australia New South Wales Premier League
2-2 2-3 46 L
13/06 Apia L Tigers
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-1 0-2 40 L
07/06 Marconi Stallions
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-1 0-1 41 L
30/05 University NSW
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-0 0-1 36 L
24/05 St George Saints
Australia New South Wales Premier League
1-0 2-0 38 W
16/05 Manly Utd
Australia New South Wales Premier League
1-0 1-0 34 W
09/05 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Australia New South Wales Premier League
0-0 0-0 64 D
03/05 Rockdale Ilinden FC
Australia New South Wales Premier League
2-0 2-2 31 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sydney Olympic vs Wollongong Wolves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wollongong Wolves win (40%). Probabilities: Sydney Olympic 33%, draw 27%, Wollongong Wolves 40%.

How many goals are expected in Sydney Olympic vs Wollongong Wolves?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Sydney Olympic 1.3 · Wollongong Wolves 1.46), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sydney Olympic vs Wollongong Wolves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.