Prediction: NWS Spirit FC vs St George Saints
Expected goals: 2.62 (NWS Spirit FC 1.7 · St George Saints 0.92). The model gives 55% home, 25% draw, 20% away. Under 2.75 goals (55%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves NWS Spirit FC with 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses over 10 games; St George Saints has piled up 1-0-9 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 4 wins for NWS Spirit FC and 1 for St George Saints, with 1 draw.
| NWS Spirit FC | Draw | St George Saints | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NWS Spirit FC (rating 1505 vs 1385).
- H2H favours NWS Spirit FC: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| NWS Spirit FC | St George Saints | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.8 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 6.1 | 2.9 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · NWS Spirit FC 4–1–1 St George Saints
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George Saints | 0-3 HT 0-2 | NWS Spirit FC |
| 19/08/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George Saints | 0-3 HT 0-3 | NWS Spirit FC |
| 26/04/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | NWS Spirit FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | St George Saints |
| 13/07/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George Saints | 0-2 HT 0-0 | NWS Spirit FC |
| 06/04/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | NWS Spirit FC | 1-3 HT 0-1 | St George Saints |
| 23/07/22 Australia New South Wales League 1 | St George Saints | 0-1 HT 0-0 | NWS Spirit FC |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Apia L Tigers | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 45 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Sydney United 58 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 36 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 28 | 35 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U21 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 34 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | 32 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 42 | 31 | 29 |
| 9 | NWS Spirit FC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 26 | 28 |
| 10 | Manly Utd | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 27 |
| 11 | SD Raiders | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 26 |
| 12 | University NSW | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 25 |
| 13 | St George City FA | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 25 |
| 14 | Blacktown City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 19 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 21 | 36 | 19 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 22 | 47 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | NWS Spirit FC | St George Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Wollongong Wolves | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| St George City FA | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Sydney Olympic | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Sutherland Sharks | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Marconi Stallions | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Manly Utd | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 0 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: NWS Spirit FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
NWS Spirit FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 05/06 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
St George Saints
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in NWS Spirit FC vs St George Saints?
According to our model, the most likely result is a NWS Spirit FC win (55%). Probabilities: NWS Spirit FC 55%, draw 25%, St George Saints 20%.
How many goals are expected in NWS Spirit FC vs St George Saints?
The model expects 2.62 goals (NWS Spirit FC 1.7 · St George Saints 0.92), with a 55% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in NWS Spirit FC vs St George Saints?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.