Prediction: Apia L Tigers vs Sydney FC U21
Expected goals: 3 (Apia L Tigers 2.05 · Sydney FC U21 0.95). The model gives 62% home, 22% draw, 16% away. Under 3.25 goals (56%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Apia L Tigers sits at 6-1-3 (W-D-L), while Sydney FC U21 arrives on a 6-1-3 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 5 wins for Apia L Tigers and 1 for Sydney FC U21.
| Apia L Tigers | Draw | Sydney FC U21 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 16% |
| Market | 62% | 21% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Apia L Tigers: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Apia L Tigers | Sydney FC U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.1 | 1.5 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.6 | 1.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Apia L Tigers 5–0–1 Sydney FC U21
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney FC U21 | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Apia L Tigers |
| 20/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney FC U21 | 2-6 HT 1-2 | Apia L Tigers |
| 09/03/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Apia L Tigers | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sydney FC U21 |
| 11/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Apia L Tigers | 1-5 HT 0-4 | Sydney FC U21 |
| 05/05/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney FC U21 | 1-7 HT 0-6 | Apia L Tigers |
| 13/08/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Apia L Tigers | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sydney FC U21 |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Apia L Tigers | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 45 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Sydney United 58 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 36 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 28 | 35 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U21 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 34 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | 32 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 42 | 31 | 29 |
| 9 | NWS Spirit FC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 26 | 28 |
| 10 | Manly Utd | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 27 |
| 11 | SD Raiders | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 26 |
| 12 | University NSW | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 25 |
| 13 | St George City FA | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 25 |
| 14 | Blacktown City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 19 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 21 | 36 | 19 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 22 | 47 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Apia L Tigers | Sydney FC U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Rockdale Ilinden FC | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Wollongong Wolves | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| NWS Spirit FC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Marconi Stallions | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| St George City FA | 1-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Sydney United 58 | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Apia L Tigers (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Apia L Tigers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 06/06 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/05 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
Sydney FC U21
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 30/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/06 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 05/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Apia L Tigers vs Sydney FC U21?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Apia L Tigers win (62%). Probabilities: Apia L Tigers 62%, draw 22%, Sydney FC U21 16%.
How many goals are expected in Apia L Tigers vs Sydney FC U21?
The model expects 3 goals (Apia L Tigers 2.05 · Sydney FC U21 0.95), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Apia L Tigers vs Sydney FC U21?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.