Prediction: Sydney United 58 vs Rockdale Ilinden FC
Expected goals: 2.4 (Sydney United 58 1.32 · Rockdale Ilinden FC 1.08). The model gives 42% home, 28% draw, 30% away. Under 2.75 goals (57%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Sydney United 58 with 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Rockdale Ilinden FC has piled up 4-2-4 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Sydney United 58 and 4 for Rockdale Ilinden FC, with 1 draw.
| Sydney United 58 | Draw | Rockdale Ilinden FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 30% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Rockdale Ilinden FC: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sydney United 58 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.6 | 3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney United 58 1–1–4 Rockdale Ilinden FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Sydney United 58 |
| 27/07/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sydney United 58 |
| 13/04/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney United 58 | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Rockdale Ilinden FC |
| 01/09/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Sydney United 58 |
| 14/07/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 4-0 HT 4-0 | Sydney United 58 |
| 07/04/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney United 58 | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Rockdale Ilinden FC |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marconi Stallions | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Apia L Tigers | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 45 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Sydney United 58 | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 36 |
| 5 | Sutherland Sharks | 22 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 28 | 35 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U21 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 34 |
| 7 | Wollongong Wolves | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | 32 |
| 8 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 42 | 31 | 29 |
| 9 | NWS Spirit FC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 26 | 28 |
| 10 | Manly Utd | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 28 | 27 |
| 11 | SD Raiders | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 26 |
| 12 | University NSW | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 25 |
| 13 | St George City FA | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 25 |
| 14 | Blacktown City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | 19 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 21 | 36 | 19 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 22 | 47 | 15 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sydney United 58 | Rockdale Ilinden FC |
|---|---|---|
| Blacktown City | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| SD Raiders | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 2-0 W | 0-5 L |
| University NSW | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sydney United 58 (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sydney United 58
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/06 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 12/06 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 16 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | Blacktown City Australia Cup Qualifying |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Manly Utd Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
Rockdale Ilinden FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 27/05 | Apia L Tigers Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sydney United 58 vs Rockdale Ilinden FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sydney United 58 win (42%). Probabilities: Sydney United 58 42%, draw 28%, Rockdale Ilinden FC 30%.
How many goals are expected in Sydney United 58 vs Rockdale Ilinden FC?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Sydney United 58 1.32 · Rockdale Ilinden FC 1.08), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sydney United 58 vs Rockdale Ilinden FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.