Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 16/08, 23:30

Prediction: Colo Colo vs O'Higgins

Team pages: Colo Colo · O'Higgins

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Colo Colo2.26

O'Higgins1.06

1X2

63% 22% 15%

Colo Colo Draw O'Higgins

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Colo Colo 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWWWW

O'Higgins 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLLWWL

Head-to-head

Colo Colo 3–1–2 O'Higgins (6 last)

O'Higgins4-1Colo Colo
Colo Colo3-2O'Higgins
O'Higgins0-1Colo Colo
O'Higgins1-1Colo Colo
Colo Colo0-1O'Higgins
Colo Colo2-1O'Higgins

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colo Colo 1598 · O'Higgins 1495

	Colo Colo	Draw	O'Higgins
Our model	63%	21%	16%
Market	63%	23%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (rating 1598 vs 1495).
H2H favours Colo Colo: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colo Colo	O'Higgins
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.3	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.6	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 5.8	2.9 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.10

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.02

2 (+1.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.38 → 1.48▲	Pinn 1.49
X	4.50 → 4.10▼	Bet365 4.10
2	7.50 → 6.25▼	Pinn 6.83 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:51 +1’	1.38	4.50	7.50
16:31 +7’	1.42▲	4.20▼	7.50
06:28 +4’	1.48▲	4.10▼	6.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:52	1.51	4.02	6.52
08:25	1.48▼	4.15▲	6.94▲
15:34	1.48▲	4.12▼	6.92▼
17:38 +1’	1.49▲	4.09▼	6.91▼
21:06	1.49▲	4.06▼	6.83▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Colo Colo 3–1–2 O'Higgins

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/07/26 Chile Cup	O'Higgins	4-1 HT 2-0	Colo Colo
26/06/26 Chile Cup	Colo Colo	3-2 HT 2-0	O'Higgins
21/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera	O'Higgins	0-1 HT 0-0	Colo Colo
27/07/25 Chile Liga de Primera	O'Higgins	1-1 HT 0-1	Colo Colo
25/02/25 Chile Liga de Primera	Colo Colo	0-1 HT 0-0	O'Higgins
27/07/24 Chile Liga de Primera	Colo Colo	2-1 HT 0-0	O'Higgins

Standings · Chile Liga de Primera

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo	18	15	0	3	38	17	45
2	Universidad de Chile	18	9	6	3	23	12	33
3	Universidad Catolica	18	9	3	6	40	26	30
4	Palestino	18	8	3	7	26	26	27
5	Everton de Vina	18	7	5	6	27	21	26
6	Nublense	17	6	8	3	22	21	26
7	Coquimbo Unido	17	7	4	6	24	21	25
8	Deportes Limache	17	7	3	7	34	27	24
9	Huachipato	18	7	3	8	27	31	24
10	Deportes Concepcion	18	7	2	9	20	23	23
11	O'Higgins	18	7	2	9	22	28	23
12	Audax Italiano	18	5	5	8	22	25	20
13	La Serena	18	4	8	6	26	31	20
14	Universidad de Concepcion	17	5	4	8	13	28	19
15	Cobresal	18	5	2	11	26	34	17
16	Union La Calera	18	3	4	11	16	35	13

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colo Colo	O'Higgins
Deportes Limache	3-1 W	1-3 L
Deportes Recoleta	2-2 D	1-1 D
Union Espanola	3-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Colo Colo (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Colo Colo

WWWWLDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	2-1	12	3	W
01/08	Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera	2-2	4-3	3	3	W
25/07	Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	3-1	6	4	W
19/07	Millonarios America Friendlies	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
07/07	Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup	1-1	2-2	9	5	D
03/07	O'Higgins Chile Cup	0-2	1-4	3	2	L
30/06	Union Espanola Chile Cup	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
26/06	O'Higgins Chile Cup	2-0	3-2	6	3	W
20/06	Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup	2-0	3-0	7	3	W
13/06	Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera	3-0	3-0	5	0	W

O'Higgins

DWWLWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera	0-2	1-3	9	6	L
02/08	La Serena Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
31/07	Boca Juniors Copa Sudamericana	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
27/07	Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
24/07	Boca Juniors Copa Sudamericana	0-1	0-1	3	1	L
13/07	Nublense Chile Copa de la Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
10/07	Nublense Chile Copa de la Liga	1-1	1-2	4	3	L
05/07	Union Espanola Chile Cup	2-1	2-1	4	8	W
03/07	Colo Colo Chile Cup	2-0	4-1	5	2	W
28/06	Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup	0-0	1-1	10	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colo Colo vs O'Higgins?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colo Colo win (63%). Probabilities: Colo Colo 63%, draw 22%, O'Higgins 15%.

How many goals are expected in Colo Colo vs O'Higgins?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Colo Colo 2.26 · O'Higgins 1.06), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Colo Colo vs O'Higgins?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.