Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 18/08, 02:30

Prediction: Palestino vs Huachipato

Team pages: Palestino · Huachipato

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Palestino2.06
Huachipato1.27
1X2
54% 25% 21%
Palestino Draw Huachipato
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Palestino 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWLDLWWLWL
Huachipato 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
DLLWLLWDLL
Head-to-head
Palestino 1–4–1 Huachipato (6 last)
  • Huachipato2-1Palestino
  • Palestino2-2Huachipato
  • Huachipato2-2Palestino
  • Huachipato2-2Palestino
  • Palestino2-0Huachipato
  • Huachipato2-2Palestino
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Palestino 1511 · Huachipato 1455
PalestinoDrawHuachipato
Our model55%23%22%
Market53%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palestino (rating 1511 vs 1455).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

PalestinoHuachipato
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.51.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.80.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 62.7 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.74.6 / 0.6

Head-to-head (H2H) · Palestino 141 Huachipato

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/02/26
Chile Liga de Primera
Huachipato2-1
HT 0-1
Palestino
06/12/25
Chile Liga de Primera
Palestino2-2
HT 1-1
Huachipato
21/06/25
Chile Liga de Primera
Huachipato2-2
HT 0-2
Palestino
30/08/24
Chile Liga de Primera
Huachipato2-2
HT 1-1
Palestino
17/04/24
Chile Liga de Primera
Palestino2-0
HT 2-0
Huachipato
15/09/23
Chile Liga de Primera
Huachipato2-2
HT 0-1
Palestino

Standings · Chile Liga de Primera

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Colo Colo 181503 381745
2 Universidad de Chile 18963 231233
3 Universidad Catolica 18936 402630
4 Palestino 18837 262627
5 Everton de Vina 18756 272126
6 Nublense 17683 222126
7 Coquimbo Unido 17746 242125
8 Deportes Limache 17737 342724
9 Huachipato 18738 273124
10 Deportes Concepcion 18729 202323
11 O'Higgins 18729 222823
12 Audax Italiano 18558 222520
13 La Serena 18486 263120
14 Universidad de Concepcion 17548 132819
15 Cobresal 185211 263417
16 Union La Calera 183411 163513

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPalestinoHuachipato
Universidad de Chile 1-2 L 0-2 L
Nublense 0-2 L 2-2 D
Everton de Vina 2-1 W 1-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Palestino (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palestino

WWLDLWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/08 Universidad de Chile
Chile Liga de Primera
0-2 1-2 42 L
01/08 Coquimbo Unido
Chile Liga de Primera
1-1 2-1 36 W
26/07 Nublense
Chile Liga de Primera
0-2 0-2 45 L
11/07 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Cup
1-0 3-2 108 W
04/07 Magallanes
Chile Cup
2-1 2-1 118 W
01/07 Audax Italiano
Chile Cup
1-1 2-3 64 L
27/06 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Chile Cup
0-0 0-0 46 D
24/06 Audax Italiano
Chile Cup
0-1 1-2 79 L
20/06 Magallanes
Chile Cup
2-0 4-1 73 W
13/06 Everton de Vina
Chile Liga de Primera
2-0 2-1 46 W

Huachipato

DLLWLLWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Everton de Vina
Chile Liga de Primera
1-3 1-4 36 L
02/08 Universidad de Chile
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 0-2 23 L
25/07 Cobresal
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 3-3 42 D
12/07 Deportes Temuco
Chile Cup
0-0 1-0 36 W
05/07 Puerto Montt
Chile Cup
0-0 1-2 110 L
03/07 Deportes Concepcion
Chile Cup
1-0 1-2 43 L
28/06 Deportes Temuco
Chile Cup
1-0 2-0 23 W
25/06 Deportes Concepcion
Chile Cup
0-1 2-3 67 L
21/06 Puerto Montt
Chile Cup
0-0 0-2 87 L
14/06 Nublense
Chile Liga de Primera
2-1 2-2 75 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palestino vs Huachipato?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Palestino win (54%). Probabilities: Palestino 54%, draw 25%, Huachipato 21%.

How many goals are expected in Palestino vs Huachipato?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Palestino 2.06 · Huachipato 1.27), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Palestino vs Huachipato?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.