Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 16/08, 21:00

Prediction: Cobresal vs Deportes Concepcion

Team pages: Cobresal · Deportes Concepcion

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Cobresal1.25
Deportes Concepcion1.23
1X2
36% 29% 35%
Cobresal Draw Deportes Concepcion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cobresal 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLDLLDLDWL
Deportes Concepcion 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
WDWLWWWWWW
Head-to-head
Cobresal 0–1–0 Deportes Concepcion (1 last)
  • Deportes Concepcion1-1Cobresal
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cobresal 1455 · Deportes Concepcion 1582
CobresalDrawDeportes Concepcion
Our model35%30%35%
Market36%28%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Concepcion (rating 1455 vs 1582).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CobresalDeportes Concepcion
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.51.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.72.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.44.5 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cobresal 010 Deportes Concepcion

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
21/02/26
Chile Liga de Primera
Deportes Concepcion1-1
HT 0-0
Cobresal

Standings · Chile Liga de Primera

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Colo Colo 181503 381745
2 Universidad de Chile 18963 231233
3 Universidad Catolica 18936 402630
4 Palestino 18837 262627
5 Everton de Vina 18756 272126
6 Nublense 17683 222126
7 Coquimbo Unido 17746 242125
8 Deportes Limache 17737 342724
9 Huachipato 18738 273124
10 Deportes Concepcion 18729 202323
11 O'Higgins 18729 222823
12 Audax Italiano 18558 222520
13 La Serena 18486 263120
14 Universidad de Concepcion 17548 132819
15 Cobresal 185211 263417
16 Union La Calera 183411 163513

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCobresalDeportes Concepcion
Universidad Catolica 0-2 L 3-0 W
Huachipato 3-3 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Concepcion (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cobresal

LLDLLDLDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Universidad Catolica
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 0-2 24 L
01/08 Union La Calera
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 4-0 52 W
25/07 Huachipato
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 3-3 12 D
12/07 CD Antofagasta
Chile Cup
0-1 0-1 31 L
05/07 Cobreloa
Chile Cup
2-1 2-2 54 D
02/07 La Serena
Chile Cup
0-0 0-1 96 L
28/06 CD Antofagasta
Chile Cup
0-1 0-1 95 L
24/06 La Serena
Chile Cup
0-0 0-0 64 D
20/06 Cobreloa
Chile Cup
0-0 0-2 55 L
13/06 Colo Colo
Chile Liga de Primera
0-3 0-3 20 L

Deportes Concepcion

WDWLWWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Universidad de Concepcion
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 1-0 49 W
02/08 Universidad Catolica
Chile Liga de Primera
2-0 3-0 46 W
27/07 O'Higgins
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 2-0 46 W
12/07 Puerto Montt
Chile Cup
0-0 2-0 93 W
07/07 Deportes Temuco
Chile Cup
1-0 2-0 44 W
03/07 Huachipato
Chile Cup
0-1 2-1 23 W
29/06 Puerto Montt
Chile Cup
0-0 0-2 75 L
25/06 Huachipato
Chile Cup
1-0 3-2 17 W
21/06 Deportes Temuco
Chile Cup
1-1 1-1 75 D
14/06 Deportes Limache
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 3-2 71 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cobresal vs Deportes Concepcion?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cobresal win (36%). Probabilities: Cobresal 36%, draw 29%, Deportes Concepcion 35%.

How many goals are expected in Cobresal vs Deportes Concepcion?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Cobresal 1.25 · Deportes Concepcion 1.23), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cobresal vs Deportes Concepcion?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.