Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 16/08, 02:00
Prediction: Everton de Vina vs Audax Italiano
Team pages: Everton de Vina · Audax Italiano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Everton de Vina1.49
Audax Italiano1.01
1X2
Everton de Vina
Draw
Audax Italiano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Everton de Vina
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Audax Italiano
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Everton de Vina
3–1–2
Audax Italiano
(6 last)
- Audax Italiano1-0Everton de Vina
- Audax Italiano2-0Everton de Vina
- Everton de Vina1-1Audax Italiano
- Audax Italiano1-2Everton de Vina
- Everton de Vina2-0Audax Italiano
- Audax Italiano0-1Everton de Vina
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Everton de Vina 1497 · Audax Italiano 1545
| Everton de Vina | Draw | Audax Italiano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 29% | 24% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Audax Italiano (rating 1497 vs 1545).
- H2H favours Everton de Vina: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Everton de Vina | Audax Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.7 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Everton de Vina 3–1–2 Audax Italiano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 22/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 01/06/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Audax Italiano |
| 29/08/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Everton de Vina |
| 07/04/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Audax Italiano |
| 14/08/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Everton de Vina |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 30 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Palestino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 26 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Nublense | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 25 |
| 8 | Deportes Limache | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 27 | 24 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 24 |
| 10 | Deportes Concepcion | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 23 | 23 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 23 |
| 12 | La Serena | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 31 | 20 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 19 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 19 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 13 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Everton de Vina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 28/07 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 11/07 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 04/07 | San Luis Quillota Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 21/06 | San Luis Quillota Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 6 | L |
Audax Italiano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 01/07 | Palestino Chile Cup |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | Palestino Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 20/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Everton de Vina vs Audax Italiano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Everton de Vina win (47%). Probabilities: Everton de Vina 47%, draw 28%, Audax Italiano 25%.
How many goals are expected in Everton de Vina vs Audax Italiano?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Everton de Vina 1.49 · Audax Italiano 1.01), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton de Vina vs Audax Italiano?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.