Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 15/08, 23:30
Prediction: Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Chile
Team pages: Deportes Limache · Universidad de Chile
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
Deportes Limache1.54
Universidad de Chile2.06
1X2
Deportes Limache
Draw
Universidad de Chile
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Limache
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Chile
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Limache
1–1–1
Universidad de Chile
(3 last)
- Universidad de Chile2-2Deportes Limache
- Universidad de Chile4-3Deportes Limache
- Deportes Limache2-0Universidad de Chile
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Limache 1483 · Universidad de Chile 1579
| Deportes Limache | Draw | Universidad de Chile | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| Market | 26% | 26% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (rating 1483 vs 1579).
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Limache | Universidad de Chile | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.9 | 2.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 70/20/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.2 | 2.9 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Limache 1–1–1 Universidad de Chile
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Deportes Limache |
| 09/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 4-3 HT 1-2 | Deportes Limache |
| 24/05/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Limache | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad de Chile |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 30 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
| 4 | Palestino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 21 | 26 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
| 7 | Nublense | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 25 |
| 8 | Deportes Limache | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 27 | 24 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 24 |
| 10 | Deportes Concepcion | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 23 | 23 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 23 |
| 12 | La Serena | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 31 | 20 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 19 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 19 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 34 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 13 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Limache
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 06/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 06/07 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 8 | W |
| 02/07 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 23/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
Universidad de Chile
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Cup |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/07 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Chile?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Universidad de Chile win (48%). Probabilities: Deportes Limache 27%, draw 25%, Universidad de Chile 48%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Chile?
The model expects 3.59 goals (Deportes Limache 1.54 · Universidad de Chile 2.06), with a 58% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Chile?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.