Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 02/08, 23:30
Prediction: Universidad de Chile vs Huachipato
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Universidad de Chile2.11
Huachipato0.94
1X2
Universidad de Chile
Draw
Huachipato
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad de Chile
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Huachipato
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad de Chile
3–1–2
Huachipato
(6 last)
- Huachipato2-1Universidad de Chile
- Huachipato1-0Universidad de Chile
- Universidad de Chile5-1Huachipato
- Universidad de Chile2-1Huachipato
- Huachipato0-4Universidad de Chile
- Huachipato0-0Universidad de Chile
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universidad de Chile 1546 · Huachipato 1473
| Universidad de Chile | Draw | Huachipato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 22% | 15% |
| Market | 63% | 23% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (rating 1546 vs 1473).
- H2H favours Universidad de Chile: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad de Chile | Huachipato | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.8 | 2.8 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 4.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Chile 3–1–2 Huachipato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Universidad de Chile |
| 02/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Chile |
| 19/05/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 5-1 HT 5-0 | Huachipato |
| 25/09/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Huachipato |
| 28/04/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Universidad de Chile |
| 04/02/24 America Friendlies | Huachipato | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Chile |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 39 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 27 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 24 |
| 5 | Palestino | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 24 |
| 6 | Huachipato | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 22 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 21 |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | 20 |
| 11 | La Serena | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 19 |
| 12 | Universidad de Concepcion | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 19 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Concepcion | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 14 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 32 | 14 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 28 | 12 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad de Chile
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Cup |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/07 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Union San Felipe Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 21/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 10 | W |
Huachipato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | Deportes Temuco Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/07 | Puerto Montt Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 03/07 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 14/06 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Colo Colo Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad de Chile vs Huachipato?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad de Chile win (63%). Probabilities: Universidad de Chile 63%, draw 23%, Huachipato 15%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad de Chile vs Huachipato?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Universidad de Chile 2.11 · Huachipato 0.94), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad de Chile vs Huachipato?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.