Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 08/08, 02:30
Prediction: Universidad Catolica vs Cobresal
Team pages: Universidad Catolica · Cobresal
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.81Total
Universidad Catolica2.65
Cobresal1.17
1X2
Universidad Catolica
Draw
Cobresal
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad Catolica
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Cobresal
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad Catolica
3–1–2
Cobresal
(6 last)
- Universidad Catolica5-1Cobresal
- Cobresal1-3Universidad Catolica
- Cobresal3-2Universidad Catolica
- Universidad Catolica2-1Cobresal
- Cobresal1-1Universidad Catolica
- Cobresal3-1Universidad Catolica
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad Catolica (rating 1609 vs 1442).
- H2H favours Universidad Catolica: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad Catolica | Cobresal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.9 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.4 | 3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Catolica 3–1–2 Cobresal
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Universidad Catolica | 5-1 HT 1-1 | Cobresal |
| 30/03/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Cobresal | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Universidad Catolica |
| 15/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Universidad Catolica |
| 30/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad Catolica | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Cobresal |
| 12/04/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Universidad Catolica |
| 28/08/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Universidad Catolica |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 17 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 36 | 16 | 42 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38 | 23 | 27 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Palestino | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 27 |
| 5 | Nublense | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Coquimbo Unido | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 24 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 24 |
| 8 | Everton de Vina | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 23 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 26 | 21 |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 20 |
| 11 | Audax Italiano | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 23 | 19 |
| 12 | La Serena | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 19 |
| 13 | Universidad de Concepcion | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 19 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 17 |
| 15 | Deportes Concepcion | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 23 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 13 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad Catolica | Cobresal |
|---|---|---|
| La Serena | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Huachipato | 3-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad Catolica (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad Catolica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 11/07 | San Luis Quillota Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 05/07 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 01/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | San Luis Quillota Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 20/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Cobresal Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
Cobresal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 24/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad Catolica vs Cobresal?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad Catolica win (68%). Probabilities: Universidad Catolica 68%, draw 18%, Cobresal 14%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad Catolica vs Cobresal?
The model expects 3.81 goals (Universidad Catolica 2.65 · Cobresal 1.17), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad Catolica vs Cobresal?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.