Prediction: La Serena vs Cobresal
Team pages: La Serena · Cobresal
- Cobresal0-1La Serena
- La Serena0-0Cobresal
- Cobresal0-1La Serena
- La Serena2-3Cobresal
- La Serena0-2Cobresal
- La Serena1-1Cobresal
| La Serena | Draw | Cobresal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 24% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours La Serena (rating 1493 vs 1448).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| La Serena | Cobresal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.5 | 3.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · La Serena 2–2–2 Cobresal
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07/26 Chile Cup | Cobresal | 0-1 HT 0-0 | La Serena |
| 24/06/26 Chile Cup | La Serena | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cobresal |
| 27/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 0-1 HT 0-1 | La Serena |
| 24/01/26 America Friendlies | La Serena | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Cobresal |
| 26/07/25 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Cobresal |
| 11/05/25 Chile Cup | La Serena | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Cobresal |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 46 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 30 |
| 4 | Nublense | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 22 | 29 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
| 6 | Palestino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportes Concepcion | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 26 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 24 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 24 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 24 |
| 12 | La Serena | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 31 | 23 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 21 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 19 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 36 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 13 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | La Serena | Cobresal |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 3-3 D | 0-2 L |
| Cobreloa | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| CD Antofagasta | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cobresal (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
La Serena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 05/07 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 02/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 24/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
Cobresal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 24/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in La Serena vs Cobresal?
According to our model, the most likely result is a La Serena win (55%). Probabilities: La Serena 55%, draw 25%, Cobresal 20%.
How many goals are expected in La Serena vs Cobresal?
The model expects 2.89 goals (La Serena 1.85 · Cobresal 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in La Serena vs Cobresal?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.