Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 30/08, 23:30
Prediction: Colo Colo vs Audax Italiano
Team pages: Colo Colo · Audax Italiano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Colo Colo2.16
Audax Italiano1
1X2
Colo Colo
Draw
Audax Italiano
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Colo Colo
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Audax Italiano
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colo Colo
4–2
Audax Italiano
(6 last)
- Audax Italiano0-1Colo Colo
- Colo Colo1-2Audax Italiano
- Audax Italiano2-1Colo Colo
- Colo Colo2-1Audax Italiano
- Audax Italiano1-4Colo Colo
- Audax Italiano0-1Colo Colo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colo Colo 1626 · Audax Italiano 1530
| Colo Colo | Draw | Audax Italiano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 63% | 21% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (rating 1626 vs 1530).
- H2H favours Colo Colo: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colo Colo | Audax Italiano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 5.4 | 1.1 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colo Colo 4–0–2 Audax Italiano
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo |
| 07/12/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Audax Italiano |
| 22/06/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Colo Colo |
| 07/10/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Audax Italiano |
| 12/05/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Colo Colo |
| 26/11/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 49 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 36 |
| 3 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 28 | 30 |
| 5 | Palestino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 30 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 27 |
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
| 8 | Deportes Concepcion | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 24 | 27 |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 26 |
| 10 | La Serena | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 34 | 24 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 24 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 24 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 19 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 39 | 18 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colo Colo | Audax Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad de Chile | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Union La Calera | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Everton de Vina | 4-3 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Limache | 3-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Cobresal | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| La Serena | 4-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Nublense | 6-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Coquimbo Unido | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 8 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 5 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Colo Colo (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colo Colo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Audax Italiano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 11/08 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/04 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colo Colo vs Audax Italiano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colo Colo win (63%). Probabilities: Colo Colo 63%, draw 21%, Audax Italiano 16%.
How many goals are expected in Colo Colo vs Audax Italiano?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Colo Colo 2.16 · Audax Italiano 1), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Colo Colo vs Audax Italiano?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.