Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 31/08, 02:00
Prediction: Coquimbo Unido vs Huachipato
Team pages: Coquimbo Unido · Huachipato
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Coquimbo Unido1.82
Huachipato0.86
1X2
Coquimbo Unido
Draw
Huachipato
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Coquimbo Unido
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Huachipato
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coquimbo Unido
3–3–0
Huachipato
(6 last)
- Coquimbo Unido2-2Huachipato
- Huachipato0-1Coquimbo Unido
- Huachipato1-3Coquimbo Unido
- Huachipato0-0Coquimbo Unido
- Huachipato0-1Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido0-0Huachipato
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Coquimbo Unido 1538 · Huachipato 1387
| Coquimbo Unido | Draw | Huachipato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 25% | 16% |
| Market | 60% | 24% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coquimbo Unido (rating 1538 vs 1387).
- H2H favours Coquimbo Unido: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coquimbo Unido | Huachipato | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.6 | 1.6 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.6 | 4.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coquimbo Unido 3–3–0 Huachipato
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Coquimbo Unido | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Huachipato |
| 25/03/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Huachipato | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 07/03/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 17/01/26 America Friendlies | Huachipato | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 30/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 12/04/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo Unido | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Huachipato |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 49 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 36 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 43 | 29 | 33 |
| 4 | Palestino | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 33 |
| 5 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 6 | Everton de Vina | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 30 |
| 7 | Deportes Limache | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 27 |
| 8 | Deportes Concepcion | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 24 | 27 |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 10 | La Serena | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 34 | 24 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 24 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 24 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 19 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 39 | 18 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coquimbo Unido | Huachipato |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Deportes Concepcion | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| La Serena | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Palestino | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Deportes Limache | 3-2 W | 1-3 L |
| Everton de Vina | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Union La Calera | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Coquimbo Unido (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coquimbo Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 16/05 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
Huachipato
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 18/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coquimbo Unido vs Huachipato?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coquimbo Unido win (59%). Probabilities: Coquimbo Unido 59%, draw 24%, Huachipato 17%.
How many goals are expected in Coquimbo Unido vs Huachipato?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Coquimbo Unido 1.82 · Huachipato 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Coquimbo Unido vs Huachipato?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.