Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 25/08, 01:30
Prediction: Everton de Vina vs Universidad de Concepcion
Team pages: Everton de Vina · Universidad de Concepcion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
Everton de Vina1.89
Universidad de Concepcion1.05
1X2
Everton de Vina
Draw
Universidad de Concepcion
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Everton de Vina
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Concepcion
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Everton de Vina
4–2–0
Universidad de Concepcion
(6 last)
- Universidad de Concepcion0-3Everton de Vina
- Universidad de Concepcion0-0Everton de Vina
- Everton de Vina2-1Universidad de Concepcion
- Everton de Vina1-0Universidad de Concepcion
- Universidad de Concepcion0-0Everton de Vina
- Everton de Vina1-0Universidad de Concepcion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Everton de Vina 1533 · Universidad de Concepcion 1397
| Everton de Vina | Draw | Universidad de Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Everton de Vina (rating 1533 vs 1397).
- H2H favours Everton de Vina: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Everton de Vina | Universidad de Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.5 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Everton de Vina 4–2–0 Universidad de Concepcion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Concepcion | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Everton de Vina |
| 28/12/20 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Concepcion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 24/01/20 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 28/09/19 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 17/02/19 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Concepcion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 11/08/18 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 46 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 28 | 30 |
| 5 | Palestino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 30 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 27 |
| 7 | Everton de Vina | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
| 8 | Deportes Concepcion | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 26 |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
| 10 | O'Higgins | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 24 |
| 11 | Huachipato | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 24 |
| 12 | La Serena | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 31 | 23 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 19 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 36 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Everton de Vina | Universidad de Concepcion |
|---|---|---|
| Audax Italiano | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Colo Colo | 3-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Union La Calera | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| O'Higgins | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Concepcion | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Cobresal | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Everton de Vina (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Everton de Vina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 08/08 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 28/07 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 18/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Universidad de Concepcion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 01/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Everton de Vina vs Universidad de Concepcion?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Everton de Vina win (56%). Probabilities: Everton de Vina 56%, draw 25%, Universidad de Concepcion 19%.
How many goals are expected in Everton de Vina vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The model expects 2.94 goals (Everton de Vina 1.89 · Universidad de Concepcion 1.05), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton de Vina vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.