Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 03/09, 00:00
Prediction: Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion
Team pages: Coquimbo Unido · Universidad de Concepcion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Coquimbo Unido1.57
Universidad de Concepcion0.74
1X2
Coquimbo Unido
Draw
Universidad de Concepcion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Coquimbo Unido
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Concepcion
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coquimbo Unido
2–1–3
Universidad de Concepcion
(6 last)
- Universidad de Concepcion1-0Coquimbo Unido
- Universidad de Concepcion0-1Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido1-0Universidad de Concepcion
- Universidad de Concepcion2-1Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido0-2Universidad de Concepcion
- Coquimbo Unido2-2Universidad de Concepcion
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coquimbo Unido (rating 1499 vs 1429).
- H2H favours Universidad de Concepcion: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coquimbo Unido | Universidad de Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 10/10/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.6 | 1.9 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.6 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coquimbo Unido 2–1–3 Universidad de Concepcion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Concepcion | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 17/09/21 Chile Primera B | Universidad de Concepcion | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 10/05/21 Chile Primera B | Coquimbo Unido | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 07/02/21 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Concepcion | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 21/10/20 Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo Unido | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 27/07/19 Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo Unido | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Concepcion |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 49 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 36 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 43 | 29 | 33 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 33 |
| 5 | Palestino | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 29 | 33 |
| 6 | Nublense | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 32 |
| 7 | Deportes Concepcion | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 30 |
| 8 | Deportes Limache | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 27 |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
| 10 | La Serena | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 34 | 24 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 24 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 39 | 24 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 22 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 31 | 39 | 21 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 19 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 14 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coquimbo Unido | Universidad de Concepcion |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Deportes Concepcion | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| La Serena | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| O'Higgins | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Limache | 3-2 W | 0-3 L |
| Everton de Vina | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Audax Italiano | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Colo Colo | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Union La Calera | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Coquimbo Unido (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coquimbo Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 8 | D |
| 01/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 16/05 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
Universidad de Concepcion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 01/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coquimbo Unido win (56%). Probabilities: Coquimbo Unido 56%, draw 28%, Universidad de Concepcion 16%.
How many goals are expected in Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Coquimbo Unido 1.57 · Universidad de Concepcion 0.74), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Coquimbo Unido vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.