Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 24/08, 01:00
Prediction: O'Higgins vs Palestino
Team pages: O'Higgins · Palestino
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
O'Higgins1.69
Palestino1.67
1X2
O'Higgins
Draw
Palestino
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
O'Higgins
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Palestino
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
O'Higgins
4–2
Palestino
(6 last)
- O'Higgins2-1Palestino
- Palestino1-3O'Higgins
- Palestino4-2O'Higgins
- Palestino1-2O'Higgins
- O'Higgins1-0Palestino
- Palestino4-1O'Higgins
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · O'Higgins 1526 · Palestino 1495
| O'Higgins | Draw | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 25% | 37% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours O'Higgins: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| O'Higgins | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5 | 3.1 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · O'Higgins 4–0–2 Palestino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | O'Higgins | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Palestino |
| 31/03/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Palestino | 1-3 HT 0-1 | O'Higgins |
| 01/03/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 4-2 HT 1-1 | O'Higgins |
| 13/09/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 1-2 HT 0-1 | O'Higgins |
| 20/04/25 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Palestino |
| 09/08/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 4-1 HT 0-1 | O'Higgins |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 46 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 30 |
| 4 | Nublense | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 22 | 29 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
| 6 | Palestino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportes Concepcion | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 26 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 24 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 24 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 24 |
| 12 | La Serena | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 31 | 23 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 21 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 19 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 36 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 13 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
O'Higgins
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Boca Juniors Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 27/07 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/07 | Boca Juniors Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 13/07 | Nublense Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/07 | Nublense Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/07 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Palestino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/07 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 04/07 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
2-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 8 | W |
| 01/07 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 24/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 20/06 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in O'Higgins vs Palestino?
According to our model, the most likely result is a O'Higgins win (37%). Probabilities: O'Higgins 37%, draw 27%, Palestino 36%.
How many goals are expected in O'Higgins vs Palestino?
The model expects 3.36 goals (O'Higgins 1.69 · Palestino 1.67), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in O'Higgins vs Palestino?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.