Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 11/10, 17:30
Prediction: Everton de Vina vs La Serena
Team pages: Everton de Vina · La Serena
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
Everton de Vina2
La Serena1.13
1X2
Everton de Vina
Draw
La Serena
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Everton de Vina
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
La Serena
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Everton de Vina
4–2
La Serena
(6 last)
- La Serena1-0Everton de Vina
- Everton de Vina3-1La Serena
- La Serena2-1Everton de Vina
- Everton de Vina4-0La Serena
- La Serena1-3Everton de Vina
- La Serena0-2Everton de Vina
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Everton de Vina 1500 · La Serena 1484
| Everton de Vina | Draw | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 23% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Everton de Vina: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Everton de Vina | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.2 / 6.5 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Everton de Vina 4–0–2 La Serena
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 29/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 3-1 HT 2-0 | La Serena |
| 13/04/25 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Everton de Vina |
| 27/08/22 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 4-0 HT 1-0 | La Serena |
| 01/04/22 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 28/09/21 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Everton de Vina |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 42 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 36 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 36 |
| 6 | Huachipato | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportes Limache | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 35 | 33 |
| 8 | Nublense | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 32 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepcion | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 26 | 31 |
| 10 | La Serena | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 38 | 30 |
| 11 | Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 32 | 29 |
| 12 | Audax Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 31 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 45 | 25 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 17 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Everton de Vina | La Serena |
|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Universidad Catolica | 0-1 L | 3-3 D |
| Universidad de Concepcion | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Audax Italiano | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Colo Colo | 3-4 L | 2-4 L |
| Union La Calera | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| O'Higgins | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Everton de Vina (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Everton de Vina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 25/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
3-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 08/08 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 28/07 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
La Serena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 01/09 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 13/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Everton de Vina vs La Serena?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Everton de Vina win (56%). Probabilities: Everton de Vina 56%, draw 24%, La Serena 20%.
How many goals are expected in Everton de Vina vs La Serena?
The model expects 3.13 goals (Everton de Vina 2 · La Serena 1.13), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Everton de Vina vs La Serena?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.