Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 12/10, 01:00
Prediction: Deportes Limache vs Palestino
Team pages: Deportes Limache · Palestino
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.45Total
Deportes Limache1.85
Palestino1.6
1X2
Deportes Limache
Draw
Palestino
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Limache
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Palestino
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Limache
0–1–5
Palestino
(6 last)
- Palestino3-2Deportes Limache
- Palestino1-0Deportes Limache
- Deportes Limache1-1Palestino
- Palestino2-1Deportes Limache
- Deportes Limache0-1Palestino
- Deportes Limache1-3Palestino
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Limache 1470 · Palestino 1570
| Deportes Limache | Draw | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.45 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Palestino (rating 1470 vs 1570).
- H2H favours Palestino: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Limache | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.8 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.1 | 2.2 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.6 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Limache 0–1–5 Palestino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Palestino | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Deportes Limache |
| 12/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Limache |
| 26/03/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Deportes Limache | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Palestino |
| 03/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Deportes Limache |
| 18/05/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Limache | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Palestino |
| 09/04/23 Chile Cup | Deportes Limache | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Palestino |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 42 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 36 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 36 |
| 6 | Huachipato | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportes Limache | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 35 | 33 |
| 8 | Nublense | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 32 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepcion | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 26 | 31 |
| 10 | La Serena | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 38 | 30 |
| 11 | Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 32 | 29 |
| 12 | Audax Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 31 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 45 | 25 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 17 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Limache | Palestino |
|---|---|---|
| Union La Calera | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Cobresal | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Everton de Vina | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Huachipato | 3-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Universidad de Chile | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| O'Higgins | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Palestino (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Limache
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/09 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/09 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 22/08 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 15/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 31/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
Palestino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/08 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Limache vs Palestino?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Limache win (43%). Probabilities: Deportes Limache 43%, draw 25%, Palestino 32%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Limache vs Palestino?
The model expects 3.45 goals (Deportes Limache 1.85 · Palestino 1.6), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Limache vs Palestino?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.