Prediction: Deportes Concepcion vs Union La Calera
Team pages: Deportes Concepcion · Union La Calera
- Union La Calera1-0Deportes Concepcion
| Deportes Concepcion | Draw | Union La Calera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Concepcion (rating 1528 vs 1469).
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Concepcion | Union La Calera | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/0/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Concepcion 0–0–1 Union La Calera
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Concepcion |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 42 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 36 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 36 |
| 6 | Huachipato | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportes Limache | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 35 | 33 |
| 8 | Nublense | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 32 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepcion | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 26 | 31 |
| 10 | La Serena | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 38 | 30 |
| 11 | Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 32 | 29 |
| 12 | Audax Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 31 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 45 | 25 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 17 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Concepcion | Union La Calera |
|---|---|---|
| Colo Colo | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Audax Italiano | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Nublense | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Cobresal | 2-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Universidad de Concepcion | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| O'Higgins | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Limache | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Universidad de Chile | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportes Concepcion (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Concepcion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 27/07 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
Union La Calera
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/09 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Concepcion vs Union La Calera?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Concepcion win (48%). Probabilities: Deportes Concepcion 48%, draw 29%, Union La Calera 24%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Concepcion vs Union La Calera?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Deportes Concepcion 1.31 · Union La Calera 0.84), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Concepcion vs Union La Calera?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.