Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 10/10, 22:30
Prediction: Huachipato vs O'Higgins
Team pages: Huachipato · O'Higgins
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Huachipato1.38
O'Higgins1.59
1X2
Huachipato
Draw
O'Higgins
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Huachipato
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
O'Higgins
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Huachipato
4–2–0
O'Higgins
(6 last)
- O'Higgins0-2Huachipato
- Huachipato2-1O'Higgins
- Huachipato2-1O'Higgins
- O'Higgins0-0Huachipato
- O'Higgins0-0Huachipato
- Huachipato1-0O'Higgins
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Huachipato 1443 · O'Higgins 1515
| Huachipato | Draw | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Market | 32% | 27% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours O'Higgins (rating 1443 vs 1515).
- H2H favours Huachipato: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Huachipato | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.4 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.1 | 2.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.5 | 4.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Huachipato 4–2–0 O'Higgins
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Huachipato |
| 22/07/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 2-1 HT 0-1 | O'Higgins |
| 21/03/25 Chile Cup | Huachipato | 2-1 HT 1-0 | O'Higgins |
| 15/02/25 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Huachipato |
| 09/02/25 Chile Cup | O'Higgins | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Huachipato |
| 08/09/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 1-0 HT 1-0 | O'Higgins |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 42 |
| 3 | Universidad de Chile | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 25 | 36 |
| 5 | Palestino | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 36 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 35 | 33 |
| 7 | Nublense | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 32 |
| 8 | Deportes Concepcion | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 26 | 31 |
| 9 | Huachipato | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 39 | 31 |
| 10 | La Serena | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 38 | 30 |
| 11 | Coquimbo Unido | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 32 | 29 |
| 12 | Audax Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 31 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 36 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 34 | 44 | 24 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 39 | 22 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 17 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Huachipato | O'Higgins |
|---|---|---|
| Colo Colo | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Deportes Limache | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Palestino | 1-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Universidad de Chile | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Universidad Catolica | 0-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Deportes Concepcion | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: O'Higgins (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Huachipato
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 18/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
O'Higgins
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/07 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 19/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Huachipato vs O'Higgins?
According to our model, the most likely result is an O'Higgins win (41%). Probabilities: Huachipato 32%, draw 27%, O'Higgins 41%.
How many goals are expected in Huachipato vs O'Higgins?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Huachipato 1.38 · O'Higgins 1.59), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Huachipato vs O'Higgins?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.