Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 27/10, 00:00
Prediction: Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina
Team pages: Universidad de Chile · Everton de Vina
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Universidad de Chile1.91
Everton de Vina1.05
1X2
Universidad de Chile
Draw
Everton de Vina
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad de Chile
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Everton de Vina
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad de Chile
2–3–1
Everton de Vina
(6 last)
- Universidad de Chile1-1Everton de Vina
- Everton de Vina0-1Universidad de Chile
- Everton de Vina0-0Universidad de Chile
- Universidad de Chile2-0Everton de Vina
- Everton de Vina2-0Universidad de Chile
- Universidad de Chile1-1Everton de Vina
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universidad de Chile 1577 · Everton de Vina 1514
| Universidad de Chile | Draw | Everton de Vina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 24% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (rating 1577 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Universidad de Chile: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 14 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad de Chile | Everton de Vina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.9 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 7.1 | 4.6 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.4 | 6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Chile 2–3–1 Everton de Vina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/26 Chile Cup | Universidad de Chile | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 27/09/26 Chile Cup | Everton de Vina | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Chile |
| 18/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Chile |
| 05/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 28/03/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad de Chile |
| 10/11/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Everton de Vina |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 50 | 27 | 54 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 19 | 45 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 27 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 37 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 37 | 34 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 34 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 34 | 32 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepcion | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 27 | 32 |
| 10 | Nublense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 37 | 32 |
| 11 | La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 41 | 30 |
| 12 | Audax Italiano | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 31 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 38 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 45 | 25 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad de Chile | Everton de Vina |
|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 6-0 W | 3-1 W |
| La Serena | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Universidad de Concepcion | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Colo Colo | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Deportes Limache | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Palestino | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Huachipato | 2-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Audax Italiano | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad de Chile (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad de Chile
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 15/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/06 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Everton de Vina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 25/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
3-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 16/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 08/08 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 28/07 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad de Chile win (56%). Probabilities: Universidad de Chile 56%, draw 24%, Everton de Vina 20%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina?
The model expects 2.96 goals (Universidad de Chile 1.91 · Everton de Vina 1.05), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad de Chile vs Everton de Vina?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.