Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 01/11, 22:00

Prediction: Deportes Concepcion vs Palestino

Team pages: Deportes Concepcion · Palestino

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
Deportes Concepcion1.22
Palestino1.22
1X2
35% 29% 35%
Deportes Concepcion Draw Palestino
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Concepcion 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWDWLDDL
Palestino 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DWLWWLWLDD
Head-to-head
Deportes Concepcion 2–1–2 Palestino (5 last)
  • Palestino0-1Deportes Concepcion
  • Palestino4-4Deportes Concepcion
  • Deportes Concepcion3-2Palestino
  • Deportes Concepcion0-4Palestino
  • Palestino4-0Deportes Concepcion
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Concepcion 1533 · Palestino 1523
Deportes ConcepcionDrawPalestino
Our model35%30%35%
Market35%29%35%
Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Deportes ConcepcionPalestino
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.71.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.40.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/10/30%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 4.12 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.33.9 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Concepcion 2–1–2 Palestino

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/04/26
Chile Liga de Primera
Palestino0-1
HT 0-1
Deportes Concepcion
30/04/25
Chile Cup
Palestino4-4
HT 1-1
Deportes Concepcion
23/03/25
Chile Cup
Deportes Concepcion3-2
HT 1-1
Palestino
03/07/21
Chile Cup
Deportes Concepcion0-4
HT 0-2
Palestino
30/06/21
Chile Cup
Palestino4-0
HT 2-0
Deportes Concepcion

Standings · Chile Liga de Primera

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Colo Colo 251744 512855
2 Universidad de Chile 251465 452048
3 Universidad Catolica 241338 513642
4 Everton de Vina 251168 413139
5 Palestino 251159 393638
6 Deportes Limache 2511410 463737
7 Huachipato 2510510 354035
8 Nublense 25988 303835
9 La Serena 25898 394233
10 Coquimbo Unido 259511 373632
11 Deportes Concepcion 259511 273032
12 Audax Italiano 24789 273229
13 O'Higgins 258413 293928
14 Cobresal 257513 364626
15 Universidad de Concepcion 256514 184123
16 Union La Calera 255614 234221

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentDeportes ConcepcionPalestino
Colo Colo 1-1 D 1-1 D
Audax Italiano 0-1 L 0-0 D
Cobresal 2-0 W 0-2 L
Universidad de Concepcion 1-0 W 2-1 W
Universidad Catolica 3-0 W 2-3 L
O'Higgins 2-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Concepcion (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Concepcion

WWWWDWLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 La Serena
Chile Liga de Primera
1-2 1-3 37 L
11/10 Union La Calera
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 1-1 46 D
13/09 Colo Colo
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 1-1 33 D
05/09 Audax Italiano
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 0-1 95 L
30/08 Nublense
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 1-0 24 W
23/08 Coquimbo Unido
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 1-1 67 D
16/08 Cobresal
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 2-0 25 W
09/08 Universidad de Concepcion
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 1-0 48 W
02/08 Universidad Catolica
Chile Liga de Primera
2-0 3-0 46 W
27/07 O'Higgins
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 2-0 46 W

Palestino

DWLWWLWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 Colo Colo
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 1-1 41 D
12/10 Deportes Limache
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 2-2 41 D
13/09 Universidad Catolica
Chile Liga de Primera
1-2 2-3 65 L
07/09 Universidad de Concepcion
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 2-1 108 W
29/08 Cobresal
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 0-2 105 L
24/08 O'Higgins
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 1-0 36 W
18/08 Huachipato
Chile Liga de Primera
1-1 5-1 44 W
10/08 Universidad de Chile
Chile Liga de Primera
0-2 1-2 42 L
13/06 Everton de Vina
Chile Liga de Primera
2-0 2-1 46 W
01/06 Audax Italiano
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 0-0 55 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Concepcion vs Palestino?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Concepcion win (35%). Probabilities: Deportes Concepcion 35%, draw 29%, Palestino 35%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Concepcion vs Palestino?

The model expects 2.44 goals (Deportes Concepcion 1.22 · Palestino 1.22), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Concepcion vs Palestino?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.