Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 01/11, 22:00

Prediction: Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano

Team pages: Deportes Limache · Audax Italiano

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.66Total

Deportes Limache1.43

Audax Italiano1.23

1X2

41% 28% 32%

Deportes Limache Draw Audax Italiano

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Deportes Limache 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWWLDW

Audax Italiano 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLWDDDLWWD

Head-to-head

Deportes Limache 1–1–1 Audax Italiano (3 last)

Audax Italiano2-2Deportes Limache
Deportes Limache4-0Audax Italiano
Audax Italiano3-1Deportes Limache

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportes Limache 1495 · Audax Italiano 1506

	Deportes Limache	Draw	Audax Italiano
Our model	40%	28%	31%
Market	41%	27%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportes Limache	Audax Italiano
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.4	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.40

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:19 +6’	2.25	3.40	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Limache 1–1–1 Audax Italiano

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera	Audax Italiano	2-2 HT 1-1	Deportes Limache
12/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera	Deportes Limache	4-0 HT 1-0	Audax Italiano
09/03/25 Chile Liga de Primera	Audax Italiano	3-1 HT 0-1	Deportes Limache

Standings · Chile Liga de Primera

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo	25	17	4	4	51	28	55
2	Universidad de Chile	25	14	6	5	45	20	48
3	Universidad Catolica	24	13	3	8	51	36	42
4	Everton de Vina	25	11	6	8	41	31	39
5	Palestino	25	11	5	9	39	36	38
6	Deportes Limache	25	11	4	10	46	37	37
7	Huachipato	25	10	5	10	35	40	35
8	Nublense	25	9	8	8	30	38	35
9	La Serena	25	8	9	8	39	42	33
10	Coquimbo Unido	25	9	5	11	37	36	32
11	Deportes Concepcion	25	9	5	11	27	30	32
12	Audax Italiano	24	7	8	9	27	32	29
13	O'Higgins	25	8	4	13	29	39	28
14	Cobresal	25	7	5	13	36	46	26
15	Universidad de Concepcion	25	6	5	14	18	41	23
16	Union La Calera	25	5	6	14	23	42	21

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportes Limache	Audax Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion	1-0 W	1-0 W
Union La Calera	0-1 L	0-0 D
Nublense	2-0 W	2-2 D
Everton de Vina	0-3 L	1-1 D
Huachipato	3-1 W	1-1 D
Universidad de Chile	1-3 L	1-2 L
O'Higgins	3-1 W	1-0 W
Colo Colo	1-3 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Limache (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Deportes Limache

LWLWLWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	1-0	0	4	W
12/10	Palestino Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	2-2	3	1	D
15/09	Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
08/09	Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	3-0	6	6	W
03/09	Nublense Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
29/08	Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera	0-2	0-3	2	9	L
22/08	Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera	3-0	3-1	6	7	W
15/08	Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
09/08	O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera	2-0	3-1	9	6	W
25/07	Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	1-3	8	4	L

Audax Italiano

DLWDDDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera	1-1	1-1	8	5	D
14/09	O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
05/09	Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/08	Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera	1-2	1-5	6	1	L
22/08	Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	0-0	6	8	D
16/08	Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
11/08	Nublense Chile Liga de Primera	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
01/08	Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
26/07	Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
13/06	La Serena Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	1-1	8	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Limache win (41%). Probabilities: Deportes Limache 41%, draw 28%, Audax Italiano 32%.

How many goals are expected in Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Deportes Limache 1.43 · Audax Italiano 1.23), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportes Limache vs Audax Italiano?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.