Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 01/11, 22:00

Prediction: Cobresal vs Everton de Vina

Team pages: Cobresal · Everton de Vina

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.42Total

Cobresal1.6

Everton de Vina1.82

1X2

33% 25% 42%

Cobresal Draw Everton de Vina

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Cobresal 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLDWLWDD

Everton de Vina 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWDWWLWWL

Head-to-head

Cobresal 1–3–2 Everton de Vina (6 last)

Everton de Vina3-1Cobresal
Cobresal1-2Everton de Vina
Everton de Vina2-2Cobresal
Cobresal2-1Everton de Vina
Everton de Vina3-3Cobresal
Everton de Vina2-2Cobresal

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cobresal 1480 · Everton de Vina 1524

	Cobresal	Draw	Everton de Vina
Our model	33%	24%	42%
Market	33%	25%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Everton de Vina (rating 1480 vs 1524).
H2H favours Everton de Vina: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cobresal	Everton de Vina
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.7	2.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.1	4.1 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	5.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 2.80▼	Bet365 2.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.10 → 2.20▲	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:19 +6’	3.00	3.60	2.10
02:18 +12’	2.80▼	3.60	2.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cobresal 1–3–2 Everton de Vina

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera	Everton de Vina	3-1 HT 2-1	Cobresal
10/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera	Cobresal	1-2 HT 0-2	Everton de Vina
24/05/25 Chile Liga de Primera	Everton de Vina	2-2 HT 0-2	Cobresal
05/10/24 Chile Liga de Primera	Cobresal	2-1 HT 1-1	Everton de Vina
12/05/24 Chile Liga de Primera	Everton de Vina	3-3 HT 2-2	Cobresal
29/08/23 Chile Liga de Primera	Everton de Vina	2-2 HT 0-0	Cobresal

Standings · Chile Liga de Primera

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo	25	17	4	4	51	28	55
2	Universidad de Chile	25	14	6	5	45	20	48
3	Universidad Catolica	24	13	3	8	51	36	42
4	Everton de Vina	25	11	6	8	41	31	39
5	Palestino	25	11	5	9	39	36	38
6	Deportes Limache	25	11	4	10	46	37	37
7	Huachipato	25	10	5	10	35	40	35
8	Nublense	25	9	8	8	30	38	35
9	La Serena	25	8	9	8	39	42	33
10	Coquimbo Unido	25	9	5	11	37	36	32
11	Deportes Concepcion	25	9	5	11	27	30	32
12	Audax Italiano	24	7	8	9	27	32	29
13	O'Higgins	25	8	4	13	29	39	28
14	Cobresal	25	7	5	13	36	46	26
15	Universidad de Concepcion	25	6	5	14	18	41	23
16	Union La Calera	25	5	6	14	23	42	21

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cobresal	Everton de Vina
Universidad de Concepcion	1-1 D	3-1 W
Deportes Limache	0-3 L	3-0 W
La Serena	3-3 D	3-2 W
Universidad Catolica	0-2 L	0-1 L
Union La Calera	4-0 W	1-1 D
Huachipato	3-3 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Everton de Vina (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cobresal

DWLLDWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	1-1	9	4	D
10/10	Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	1-1	10	6	D
12/09	Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera	1-1	3-2	8	4	W
08/09	Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	0-3	1	6	L
29/08	Palestino Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
23/08	La Serena Chile Liga de Primera	1-1	3-3	7	5	D
16/08	Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
08/08	Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
01/08	Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	4-0	5	2	W
25/07	Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	3-3	1	2	D

Everton de Vina

DLWDWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera	0-2	1-4	8	6	L
11/10	La Serena Chile Liga de Primera	1-1	3-2	8	8	W
12/09	Nublense Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	3-1	2	6	W
05/09	Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
29/08	Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera	2-0	3-0	2	9	W
25/08	Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	3-1	3-1	9	7	W
16/08	Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	1-1	3	8	D
08/08	Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera	3-1	4-1	7	6	W
01/08	Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera	2-2	3-4	7	3	L
28/07	Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	1-1	10	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cobresal vs Everton de Vina?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Everton de Vina win (42%). Probabilities: Cobresal 33%, draw 25%, Everton de Vina 42%.

How many goals are expected in Cobresal vs Everton de Vina?

The model expects 3.42 goals (Cobresal 1.6 · Everton de Vina 1.82), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cobresal vs Everton de Vina?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.