Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 01/11, 22:00
Prediction: Huachipato vs La Serena
Team pages: Huachipato · La Serena
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.02Total
Huachipato1.63
La Serena1.4
1X2
Huachipato
Draw
La Serena
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Huachipato
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
La Serena
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Huachipato
3–2–1
La Serena
(6 last)
- La Serena0-0Huachipato
- La Serena0-2Huachipato
- Huachipato3-1La Serena
- La Serena0-1Huachipato
- Huachipato2-3La Serena
- La Serena2-2Huachipato
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Huachipato 1488 · La Serena 1511
| Huachipato | Draw | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Huachipato: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Huachipato | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2 | 1.8 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.5 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Huachipato 3–2–1 La Serena
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Huachipato |
| 24/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Huachipato |
| 30/03/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 3-1 HT 1-1 | La Serena |
| 14/08/22 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Huachipato |
| 20/03/22 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 2-3 HT 0-3 | La Serena |
| 29/10/21 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Huachipato |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 55 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 45 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 36 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 37 | 37 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 35 |
| 8 | Nublense | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 38 | 35 |
| 9 | La Serena | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 39 | 42 | 33 |
| 10 | Coquimbo Unido | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 36 | 32 |
| 11 | Deportes Concepcion | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | Audax Italiano | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 29 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 39 | 28 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 46 | 26 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 41 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 42 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Huachipato | La Serena |
|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Universidad de Concepcion | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Everton de Vina | 1-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Universidad de Chile | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Cobresal | 3-3 D | 3-3 D |
| Nublense | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Huachipato
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 18/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
La Serena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 11/10 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 13/09 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 01/09 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Huachipato vs La Serena?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Huachipato win (42%). Probabilities: Huachipato 42%, draw 26%, La Serena 32%.
How many goals are expected in Huachipato vs La Serena?
The model expects 3.02 goals (Huachipato 1.63 · La Serena 1.4), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Huachipato vs La Serena?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.