Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 24/10, 01:00

Prediction: Audax Italiano vs Huachipato

Team pages: Audax Italiano · Huachipato

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.65Total

Audax Italiano1.53

Huachipato1.12

1X2

46% 27% 27%

Audax Italiano Draw Huachipato

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Audax Italiano 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWDDDLWW

Huachipato 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLLDWW

Head-to-head

Audax Italiano 2–4 Huachipato (6 last)

Huachipato3-2Audax Italiano
Huachipato2-1Audax Italiano
Huachipato4-2Audax Italiano
Audax Italiano1-0Huachipato
Audax Italiano4-3Huachipato
Audax Italiano0-2Huachipato

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Audax Italiano 1489 · Huachipato 1481

	Audax Italiano	Draw	Huachipato
Our model	46%	28%	27%
Market	46%	27%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Huachipato: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Audax Italiano	Huachipato
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	1.2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4.4	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.4	3.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.40

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.10 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.52
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8% Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:55 +161’	2.00	3.40	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
02:13 +1343’	2.10	3.52	3.39

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Audax Italiano 2–0–4 Huachipato

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera	Huachipato	3-2 HT 0-1	Audax Italiano
09/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera	Huachipato	2-1 HT 1-0	Audax Italiano
05/10/25 Chile Cup	Huachipato	4-2 HT 2-1	Audax Italiano
30/09/25 Chile Cup	Audax Italiano	1-0 HT 0-0	Huachipato
27/05/25 Chile Liga de Primera	Audax Italiano	4-3 HT 1-2	Huachipato
20/10/24 Chile Liga de Primera	Audax Italiano	0-2 HT 0-1	Huachipato

Standings · Chile Liga de Primera

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo	24	17	3	4	50	27	54
2	Universidad de Chile	24	13	6	5	41	19	45
3	Universidad Catolica	23	13	3	7	50	33	42
4	Everton de Vina	24	11	6	7	40	27	39
5	Palestino	24	11	4	9	38	35	37
6	Deportes Limache	24	10	4	10	45	37	34
7	Huachipato	24	10	4	10	34	39	34
8	Coquimbo Unido	24	9	5	10	36	34	32
9	Deportes Concepcion	24	9	5	10	26	27	32
10	Nublense	24	8	8	8	28	37	32
11	La Serena	24	7	9	8	36	41	30
12	Audax Italiano	23	7	7	9	26	31	28
13	O'Higgins	24	8	3	13	28	38	27
14	Cobresal	24	7	4	13	35	45	25
15	Universidad de Concepcion	24	6	5	13	18	40	23
16	Union La Calera	24	4	6	14	20	41	18

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Audax Italiano	Huachipato
O'Higgins	1-0 W	2-0 W
Colo Colo	1-5 L	0-0 D
Everton de Vina	1-1 D	1-4 L
Nublense	2-2 D	2-2 D
Universidad de Concepcion	1-0 W	2-0 W
Universidad de Chile	1-2 L	0-2 L
Palestino	0-0 D	1-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Audax Italiano

DDLWDDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
05/09	Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/08	Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera	1-2	1-5	6	1	L
22/08	Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	0-0	6	8	D
16/08	Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
11/08	Nublense Chile Liga de Primera	1-1	2-2	3	5	D
01/08	Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
26/07	Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
13/06	La Serena Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	1-1	8	4	D
01/06	Palestino Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	0-0	8	5	D

Huachipato

LDDLLLLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
03/10	Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	2-0	5	7	W
06/09	Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
22/08	Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera	0-3	1-3	5	7	L
18/08	Palestino Chile Liga de Primera	1-1	1-5	2	4	L
08/08	Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera	1-3	1-4	3	6	L
02/08	Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
25/07	Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera	1-0	3-3	4	2	D
14/06	Nublense Chile Liga de Primera	2-1	2-2	7	5	D
31/05	Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	0-3	8	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Audax Italiano vs Huachipato?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Audax Italiano win (46%). Probabilities: Audax Italiano 46%, draw 27%, Huachipato 27%.

How many goals are expected in Audax Italiano vs Huachipato?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Audax Italiano 1.53 · Huachipato 1.12), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Audax Italiano vs Huachipato?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.