Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 25/10, 21:30

Prediction: Palestino vs Colo Colo

Team pages: Palestino · Colo Colo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

Palestino1.35

Colo Colo1.79

1X2

28% 26% 47%

Palestino Draw Colo Colo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Palestino 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWWLWLD

Colo Colo 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWWDDL

Head-to-head

Palestino 2–2–2 Colo Colo (6 last)

Colo Colo0-1Palestino
Palestino0-0Colo Colo
Colo Colo1-1Palestino
Palestino2-3Colo Colo
Colo Colo2-0Palestino
Palestino1-0Colo Colo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Palestino 1560 · Colo Colo 1572

	Palestino	Draw	Colo Colo
Our model	28%	25%	47%
Market	27%	26%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Palestino	Colo Colo
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.3	2.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.5	4.7 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.4	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.50

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.65 ★
2	2.05 → 2.00▼	Pinn 2.08

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:19 +5’	3.25	3.50	2.05
15:32 +7’	3.40▲	3.50	2.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:33 +111’	3.32	3.65	2.08

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Palestino 2–2–2 Colo Colo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera	Colo Colo	0-1 HT 0-1	Palestino
22/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera	Palestino	0-0 HT 0-0	Colo Colo
27/03/25 Chile Liga de Primera	Colo Colo	1-1 HT 0-1	Palestino
20/10/24 Chile Liga de Primera	Palestino	2-3 HT 2-1	Colo Colo
19/05/24 Chile Liga de Primera	Colo Colo	2-0 HT 1-0	Palestino
08/10/23 Chile Liga de Primera	Palestino	1-0 HT 0-0	Colo Colo

Standings · Chile Liga de Primera

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Colo Colo	24	17	3	4	50	27	54
2	Universidad de Chile	24	13	6	5	41	19	45
3	Universidad Catolica	23	13	3	7	50	33	42
4	Everton de Vina	24	11	6	7	40	27	39
5	Palestino	24	11	4	9	38	35	37
6	Deportes Limache	24	10	4	10	45	37	34
7	Huachipato	24	10	4	10	34	39	34
8	Coquimbo Unido	24	9	5	10	36	34	32
9	Deportes Concepcion	24	9	5	10	26	27	32
10	Nublense	24	8	8	8	28	37	32
11	La Serena	24	7	9	8	36	41	30
12	Audax Italiano	23	7	7	9	26	31	28
13	O'Higgins	24	8	3	13	28	38	27
14	Cobresal	24	7	4	13	35	45	25
15	Universidad de Concepcion	24	6	5	13	18	40	23
16	Union La Calera	24	4	6	14	20	41	18

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Palestino	Colo Colo
Deportes Limache	2-2 D	3-1 W
Cobresal	0-2 L	3-0 W
O'Higgins	1-0 W	2-2 D
Huachipato	5-1 W	0-0 D
Universidad de Chile	1-2 L	2-1 W
Everton de Vina	2-1 W	4-3 W
Audax Italiano	0-0 D	5-1 W
Union La Calera	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	6 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Colo Colo (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Palestino

WDWLWWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/10	Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	2-2	4	1	D
13/09	Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera	1-2	2-3	6	5	L
07/09	Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	2-1	10	8	W
29/08	Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	0-2	10	5	L
24/08	O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
18/08	Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera	1-1	5-1	4	4	W
10/08	Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
13/06	Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera	2-0	2-1	4	6	W
01/06	Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
24/05	Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera	2-1	2-1	5	4	W

Colo Colo

WWWWDWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera	1-3	2-5	11	5	L
13/09	Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
06/09	Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
30/08	Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera	2-1	5-1	4	1	W
23/08	Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera	1-1	2-1	6	8	W
16/08	O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	2-2	9	4	D
09/08	Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera	0-1	2-1	12	3	W
01/08	Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera	2-2	4-3	3	3	W
25/07	Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera	0-0	3-1	6	4	W
13/06	Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera	3-0	3-0	5	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Palestino vs Colo Colo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Colo Colo win (47%). Probabilities: Palestino 28%, draw 26%, Colo Colo 47%.

How many goals are expected in Palestino vs Colo Colo?

The model expects 3.14 goals (Palestino 1.35 · Colo Colo 1.79), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Palestino vs Colo Colo?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.