Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 30/10, 23:00
Prediction: Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion
Team pages: Colo Colo · Universidad de Concepcion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Colo Colo2.47
Universidad de Concepcion0.85
1X2
Colo Colo
Draw
Universidad de Concepcion
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Colo Colo
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Universidad de Concepcion
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colo Colo
3–2–1
Universidad de Concepcion
(6 last)
- Universidad de Concepcion1-2Colo Colo
- Colo Colo1-0Universidad de Concepcion
- Universidad de Concepcion1-1Colo Colo
- Colo Colo2-2Universidad de Concepcion
- Universidad de Concepcion3-1Colo Colo
- Colo Colo1-0Universidad de Concepcion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colo Colo 1585 · Universidad de Concepcion 1385
| Colo Colo | Draw | Universidad de Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| Market | 72% | 17% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (rating 1585 vs 1385).
- H2H favours Colo Colo: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colo Colo | Universidad de Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.6 | 0.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.7 / 7.5 | 2.5 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 5.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colo Colo 3–2–1 Universidad de Concepcion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Concepcion | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo |
| 17/02/21 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 13/01/21 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Concepcion | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Colo Colo |
| 29/02/20 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 15/09/19 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Concepcion | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Colo Colo |
| 23/02/19 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 55 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 45 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 51 | 36 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 41 | 31 | 39 |
| 5 | Palestino | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 37 | 37 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 35 |
| 8 | Nublense | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 38 | 35 |
| 9 | La Serena | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 39 | 42 | 33 |
| 10 | Coquimbo Unido | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 36 | 32 |
| 11 | Deportes Concepcion | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | Audax Italiano | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 29 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 39 | 28 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 46 | 26 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 41 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 42 | 21 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colo Colo | Universidad de Concepcion |
|---|---|---|
| Palestino | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Coquimbo Unido | 2-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Deportes Concepcion | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Huachipato | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Audax Italiano | 5-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Universidad de Chile | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Everton de Vina | 4-3 W | 1-3 L |
| Deportes Limache | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Colo Colo (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colo Colo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-3 | 2-5 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Universidad de Concepcion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 03/10 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 07/09 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 03/09 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 25/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colo Colo win (72%). Probabilities: Colo Colo 72%, draw 18%, Universidad de Concepcion 10%.
How many goals are expected in Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Colo Colo 2.47 · Universidad de Concepcion 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Colo Colo vs Universidad de Concepcion?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.