Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 08/11, 19:00
Prediction: Nublense vs Colo Colo
Team pages: Nublense · Colo Colo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.6Total
Nublense1.45
Colo Colo2.15
1X2
Nublense
Draw
Colo Colo
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Nublense
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Colo Colo
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nublense
1–2–3
Colo Colo
(6 last)
- Colo Colo6-2Nublense
- Nublense0-1Colo Colo
- Colo Colo2-2Nublense
- Colo Colo2-1Nublense
- Nublense3-0Colo Colo
- Nublense0-0Colo Colo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nublense 1453 · Colo Colo 1589
| Nublense | Draw | Colo Colo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 26% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.9
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (rating 1453 vs 1589).
- H2H favours Colo Colo: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nublense | Colo Colo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2 | 2.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.2 | 4.4 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.6 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nublense 1–2–3 Colo Colo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 6-2 HT 2-1 | Nublense |
| 01/11/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Colo Colo |
| 20/05/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Nublense |
| 30/08/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Nublense |
| 06/04/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Colo Colo |
| 26/07/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Colo Colo |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57 | 29 | 58 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 21 | 48 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 46 |
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 37 | 40 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 40 |
| 6 | Palestino | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 38 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 36 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 36 | 35 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepcion | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 35 |
| 10 | Nublense | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 35 |
| 11 | La Serena | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 42 | 34 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 39 | 31 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 48 | 27 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 47 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 43 | 21 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nublense | Colo Colo |
|---|---|---|
| O'Higgins | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Coquimbo Unido | 2-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Universidad de Chile | 0-6 L | 2-1 W |
| Everton de Vina | 1-3 L | 4-3 W |
| Deportes Concepcion | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Union La Calera | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Audax Italiano | 2-2 D | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Colo Colo (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nublense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 25/10 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 06/09 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 03/09 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 11/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
Colo Colo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
5-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/10 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 11/10 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-3 | 2-5 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 30/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 16/08 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nublense vs Colo Colo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Colo Colo win (52%). Probabilities: Nublense 24%, draw 24%, Colo Colo 52%.
How many goals are expected in Nublense vs Colo Colo?
The model expects 3.6 goals (Nublense 1.45 · Colo Colo 2.15), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Nublense vs Colo Colo?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.