Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 09/11, 00:00

Prediction: Universidad Catolica vs Deportes Limache

Team pages: Universidad Catolica · Deportes Limache

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.96Total
Universidad Catolica2.04
Deportes Limache0.92
1X2
63% 22% 15%
Universidad Catolica Draw Deportes Limache
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad Catolica 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWWLDW
Deportes Limache 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWLDWW
Head-to-head
Universidad Catolica 3–0 Deportes Limache (3 last)
  • Deportes Limache0-2Universidad Catolica
  • Deportes Limache0-1Universidad Catolica
  • Universidad Catolica2-1Deportes Limache
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Universidad Catolica 1545 · Deportes Limache 1521
Universidad CatolicaDrawDeportes Limache
Our model62%22%15%
Market63%22%16%
Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Universidad Catolica: 3-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Universidad CatolicaDeportes Limache
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.41.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.61 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.52.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.2 / 0.44.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Catolica 3–0–0 Deportes Limache

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/05/26
Chile Liga de Primera
Deportes Limache0-2
HT 0-2
Universidad Catolica
14/09/25
Chile Liga de Primera
Deportes Limache0-1
HT 0-0
Universidad Catolica
19/04/25
Chile Liga de Primera
Universidad Catolica2-1
HT 0-1
Deportes Limache

Standings · Chile Liga de Primera

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Colo Colo 261844 572958
2 Universidad de Chile 261466 452148
3 Universidad Catolica 261448 533746
4 Deportes Limache 2612410 483740
5 Everton de Vina 261178 433340
6 Palestino 2611510 393738
7 Huachipato 2610610 354036
8 Coquimbo Unido 2610511 383635
9 Deportes Concepcion 2610511 283035
10 Nublense 26989 303935
11 La Serena 268108 394234
12 O'Higgins 269413 303931
13 Audax Italiano 267910 283530
14 Cobresal 267613 384827
15 Universidad de Concepcion 266515 194723
16 Union La Calera 265615 234321

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUniversidad CatolicaDeportes Limache
Universidad de Chile 1-0 W 1-3 L
Audax Italiano 1-1 D 2-0 W
Union La Calera 1-3 L 0-1 L
Palestino 3-2 W 2-2 D
Everton de Vina 1-0 W 0-3 L
O'Higgins 3-2 W 3-1 W
Nublense 1-2 L 2-0 W
Cobresal 2-0 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 2 L 4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Deportes Limache (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Universidad Catolica

LWLWWWWLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/11 Universidad de Chile
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 1-0 26 W
29/10 Audax Italiano
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 1-1 610 D
25/10 Union La Calera
Chile Liga de Primera
1-1 1-3 35 L
13/09 Palestino
Chile Liga de Primera
2-1 3-2 55 W
05/09 Everton de Vina
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 1-0 43 W
01/09 O'Higgins
Chile Liga de Primera
2-1 3-2 76 W
27/08 Coquimbo Unido
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 2-1 23 W
23/08 Nublense
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 1-2 28 L
08/08 Cobresal
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 2-0 104 W
02/08 Deportes Concepcion
Chile Liga de Primera
0-2 0-3 46 L

Deportes Limache

WLWLWWLDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/11 Audax Italiano
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 2-0 43 W
26/10 Universidad de Concepcion
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 1-0 04 W
12/10 Palestino
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 2-2 31 D
15/09 Union La Calera
Chile Liga de Primera
0-1 0-1 67 L
08/09 Cobresal
Chile Liga de Primera
1-0 3-0 66 W
03/09 Nublense
Chile Liga de Primera
0-0 2-0 43 W
29/08 Everton de Vina
Chile Liga de Primera
0-2 0-3 29 L
22/08 Huachipato
Chile Liga de Primera
3-0 3-1 67 W
15/08 Universidad de Chile
Chile Liga de Primera
1-1 1-3 32 L
09/08 O'Higgins
Chile Liga de Primera
2-0 3-1 96 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Universidad Catolica vs Deportes Limache?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad Catolica win (63%). Probabilities: Universidad Catolica 63%, draw 22%, Deportes Limache 15%.

How many goals are expected in Universidad Catolica vs Deportes Limache?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Universidad Catolica 2.04 · Deportes Limache 0.92), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Universidad Catolica vs Deportes Limache?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.