Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 08/11, 19:00
Prediction: Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal
Team pages: Universidad de Chile · Cobresal
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
Universidad de Chile2.57
Cobresal0.84
1X2
Universidad de Chile
Draw
Cobresal
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad de Chile
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Cobresal
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad de Chile
0–2–4
Cobresal
(6 last)
- Cobresal1-0Universidad de Chile
- Universidad de Chile0-1Cobresal
- Cobresal2-1Universidad de Chile
- Cobresal3-3Universidad de Chile
- Universidad de Chile2-2Cobresal
- Cobresal4-3Universidad de Chile
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universidad de Chile 1558 · Cobresal 1504
| Universidad de Chile | Draw | Cobresal | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| Market | 74% | 17% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad de Chile (rating 1558 vs 1504).
- H2H favours Cobresal: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad de Chile | Cobresal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 7.1 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Chile 0–2–4 Cobresal
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Chile |
| 05/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cobresal |
| 02/03/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Chile |
| 21/07/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 3-3 HT 3-3 | Universidad de Chile |
| 25/03/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Chile | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Cobresal |
| 03/12/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 4-3 HT 1-0 | Universidad de Chile |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57 | 29 | 58 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 21 | 48 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 46 |
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 37 | 40 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 40 |
| 6 | Palestino | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 38 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 36 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 36 | 35 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepcion | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 35 |
| 10 | Nublense | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 35 |
| 11 | La Serena | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 42 | 34 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 39 | 31 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 48 | 27 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 47 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 43 | 21 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad de Chile | Cobresal |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Everton de Vina | 4-1 W | 2-2 D |
| La Serena | 3-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Coquimbo Unido | 4-2 W | 3-2 W |
| Universidad de Concepcion | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Limache | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Palestino | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad de Chile (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad de Chile
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/10 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 12/10 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 06/09 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 30/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 15/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-0 | 13 | 3 | W |
Cobresal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 25/10 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 12/09 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/09 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad de Chile win (74%). Probabilities: Universidad de Chile 74%, draw 17%, Cobresal 9%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal?
The model expects 3.41 goals (Universidad de Chile 2.57 · Cobresal 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad de Chile vs Cobresal?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.