Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 08/11, 21:30
Prediction: Union La Calera vs Huachipato
Team pages: Union La Calera · Huachipato
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.56Total
Union La Calera1.5
Huachipato1.05
1X2
Union La Calera
Draw
Huachipato
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Union La Calera
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Huachipato
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union La Calera
3–3
Huachipato
(6 last)
- Huachipato3-1Union La Calera
- Huachipato1-0Union La Calera
- Union La Calera1-0Huachipato
- Union La Calera2-1Huachipato
- Huachipato0-1Union La Calera
- Union La Calera2-4Huachipato
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union La Calera 1446 · Huachipato 1484
| Union La Calera | Draw | Huachipato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 25% |
| Market | 48% | 26% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union La Calera | Huachipato | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union La Calera 3–0–3 Huachipato
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Union La Calera |
| 09/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Union La Calera |
| 08/03/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Huachipato |
| 29/07/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Huachipato |
| 25/02/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Huachipato | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union La Calera |
| 07/10/23 Chile Liga de Primera | Union La Calera | 2-4 HT 0-1 | Huachipato |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57 | 29 | 58 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 21 | 48 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 46 |
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 37 | 40 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 40 |
| 6 | Palestino | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 37 | 38 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 36 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 36 | 35 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepcion | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 30 | 35 |
| 10 | Nublense | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 35 |
| 11 | La Serena | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 42 | 34 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 39 | 31 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 35 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 48 | 27 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 47 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 43 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union La Calera | Huachipato |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Limache | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| O'Higgins | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| La Serena | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Audax Italiano | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Colo Colo | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Cobresal | 0-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 4 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Huachipato (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union La Calera
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 15/09 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/09 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
Huachipato
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/10 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 10/10 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 18/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union La Calera vs Huachipato?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union La Calera win (47%). Probabilities: Union La Calera 47%, draw 27%, Huachipato 26%.
How many goals are expected in Union La Calera vs Huachipato?
The model expects 2.56 goals (Union La Calera 1.5 · Huachipato 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Union La Calera vs Huachipato?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.