Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 06/11, 00:00
Prediction: Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins
Team pages: Universidad de Concepcion · O'Higgins
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Universidad de Concepcion1.1
O'Higgins1.3
1X2
Universidad de Concepcion
Draw
O'Higgins
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad de Concepcion
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
O'Higgins
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad de Concepcion
2–2–2
O'Higgins
(6 last)
- O'Higgins0-1Universidad de Concepcion
- O'Higgins0-0Universidad de Concepcion
- Universidad de Concepcion1-4O'Higgins
- O'Higgins1-2Universidad de Concepcion
- Universidad de Concepcion1-1O'Higgins
- O'Higgins4-2Universidad de Concepcion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universidad de Concepcion 1416 · O'Higgins 1513
| Universidad de Concepcion | Draw | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours O'Higgins (rating 1416 vs 1513).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad de Concepcion | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.8 | 2.8 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.5 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad de Concepcion 2–2–2 O'Higgins
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 20/01/21 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 24/09/20 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Concepcion | 1-4 HT 1-2 | O'Higgins |
| 13/10/19 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 26/05/19 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad de Concepcion | 1-1 HT 0-1 | O'Higgins |
| 02/11/18 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Universidad de Concepcion |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57 | 29 | 58 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 21 | 48 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 53 | 37 | 46 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 40 |
| 5 | Palestino | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 37 | 37 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 40 | 36 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 36 | 35 |
| 9 | Nublense | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 39 | 35 |
| 10 | La Serena | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 39 | 42 | 34 |
| 11 | Deportes Concepcion | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 39 | 31 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 33 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 48 | 27 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 47 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23 | 43 | 21 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad de Concepcion | O'Higgins |
|---|---|---|
| Colo Colo | 1-6 L | 2-2 D |
| Deportes Limache | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Cobresal | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Huachipato | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Palestino | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| La Serena | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: O'Higgins (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad de Concepcion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-5 | 1-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/10 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 03/10 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 07/09 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 03/09 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 25/08 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
O'Higgins
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 25/10 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 10/10 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/09 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 06/09 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/09 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 24/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins?
According to our model, the most likely result is an O'Higgins win (40%). Probabilities: Universidad de Concepcion 31%, draw 29%, O'Higgins 40%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Universidad de Concepcion 1.1 · O'Higgins 1.3), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad de Concepcion vs O'Higgins?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.