Football · Chile Liga de Primera · 23/08, 18:00
Prediction: Deportes Concepcion vs Coquimbo Unido
Team pages: Deportes Concepcion · Coquimbo Unido
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.39Total
Deportes Concepcion1.02
Coquimbo Unido1.37
1X2
Deportes Concepcion
Draw
Coquimbo Unido
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Concepcion
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Coquimbo Unido
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Concepcion
1–2–3
Coquimbo Unido
(6 last)
- Deportes Concepcion1-2Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido2-1Deportes Concepcion
- Coquimbo Unido0-1Deportes Concepcion
- Deportes Concepcion1-2Coquimbo Unido
- Coquimbo Unido2-2Deportes Concepcion
- Deportes Concepcion0-0Coquimbo Unido
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Concepcion 1582 · Coquimbo Unido 1528
| Deportes Concepcion | Draw | Coquimbo Unido | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 30% | 44% |
| Market | 27% | 29% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportes Concepcion (rating 1582 vs 1528).
- H2H favours Coquimbo Unido: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Concepcion | Coquimbo Unido | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 3.3 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Concepcion 1–2–3 Coquimbo Unido
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Deportes Concepcion | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 29/03/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Coquimbo Unido | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Concepcion |
| 28/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo Unido | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Concepcion |
| 15/01/26 America Friendlies | Deportes Concepcion | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 21/02/16 Chile Primera B | Coquimbo Unido | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Deportes Concepcion |
| 12/09/15 Chile Primera B | Deportes Concepcion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Coquimbo Unido |
Standings · Chile Liga de Primera
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 19 | 46 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 36 |
| 3 | Universidad Catolica | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 30 |
| 4 | Nublense | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 22 | 29 |
| 5 | Everton de Vina | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 22 | 27 |
| 6 | Palestino | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportes Concepcion | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 23 | 26 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 25 |
| 9 | Deportes Limache | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 35 | 30 | 24 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 31 | 24 |
| 11 | O'Higgins | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 30 | 24 |
| 12 | La Serena | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 31 | 23 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 26 | 21 |
| 14 | Universidad de Concepcion | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 19 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 36 | 17 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 13 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Concepcion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 02/08 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 27/07 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/07 | Puerto Montt Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 07/07 | Deportes Temuco Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 29/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/06 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
Coquimbo Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Platense Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 8 | D |
| 06/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Union La Calera Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 09/07 | Union La Calera Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 02/07 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 27/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Concepcion vs Coquimbo Unido?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Coquimbo Unido win (44%). Probabilities: Deportes Concepcion 27%, draw 29%, Coquimbo Unido 44%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Concepcion vs Coquimbo Unido?
The model expects 2.39 goals (Deportes Concepcion 1.02 · Coquimbo Unido 1.37), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Concepcion vs Coquimbo Unido?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.